This page ranks the Oscar contenders. 2018 contenders are ranked by most likely to be nominated.

Our ranking system is based on our Oscar Tiers page, which is based on the rankings of “Award blogs” throughout the web.

Last Update: 12/14/18

Picture (12/14/18)
A Star is Born
The Favourite
Roma
Green Book
If Beale Street Could Talk
BlacKkKlansman
Black Panther
Vice

Alternates
First Man
Bohemian Rhapsody
Mary Poppins Returns
Eighth Grade

Dark Horses
Crazy Rich Asians
Can You Ever Forgive Me?
Boy Erased
Widows

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Director (12/14/18)
Alfonso Cuaron – Roma
Bradley Cooper – A Star is Born
Spike Lee – BlacKkKlansman
Barry Jenkins – If Beale Street Could Talk
Peter Farrelly – Green Book

Alternates
Adam McKay – Vice
Ryan Coogler – Black Panther

Dark Horses
Steve McQueen – Widows

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Lead Actor (12/14/18)
Bradley Cooper – A Star is Born
Viggo Mortensen – Green Book
Christian Bale – Vice
Ethan Hawke – First Reformed
Rami Malek – Bohemian Rhapsody

Alternates
Ryan Gosling – First Man
John David Washington – BlacKkKlansman
Willem Dafoe – At Eternity’s Gate
Lucas Hedges – Boy Erased

Dark Horses
Lin-Manuel Miranda – Mary Poppins Returns
Ben Foster – Leave No Trace
Clint Eastwood – The Mule
Robert Redford – The Old Man and the Gun
Stephen James – If Beale Street Could Talk

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Lead Actress (12/14/18)
Olivia Colman – The Favourite
Lady Gaga – A Star is Born
Glenn Close – The Wife
Melissa McCarthy – Can You Ever Forgive Me?
Emily Blunt – Mary Poppins Returns

Alternates
Yalitza Aparicio – Roma
Toni Collette – Hereditary
Viola Davis – Widows
Nicole Kidman – Destroyer

Dark Horses
Elsie Fisher – Eighth Grade
Julia Roberts – Ben is Back
Rosamund Pike – A Private War
Kiki Layne – If Beale Street Could Talk
Saoirse Ronan – Mary Queen of Scots

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Supporting Actor (12/14/18)
Mahershala Ali – Green Book
Richard E. Grant – Can You Ever Forgive Me?
Adam Driver – BlacKkKlansman
Sam Elliott – A Star is Born
Timothee Chalamet – Beautiful Boy

Alternates
Sam Rockwell – Vice
Michael B. Jordan – Black Panther

Dark Horses
Joanthan Pryce – The Wife
Russell Crowe – Boy Erased
Brian Tyree Henry – If Beale Street Could Talk
Nicholas Hoult – The Favourite
Steve Carell – Vice

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Supporting Actress (12/14/18)
Regina King – If Beale Street Could Talk
Amy Adams – Vice
Rachel Weisz – The Favourite
Emma Stone – The Favourite
Claire Foy – First Man

Alternates
Emily Blunt – A Quiet Place
Nicole Kidman – Boy Erased
Margot Robbie – Mary Queen of Scots
Natalie Portman – Vox Lux
Michelle Yeoh – Crazy Rich Asians

Dark Horses
Marina de Tavira – Roma
Meryl Streep – Mary Poppins Returns

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Writing – Original Screenplay (12/14/18)
Roma
The Favourite
Vice
Green Book
First Reformed

Alternates
Eighth Grade

Dark Horses
A Quiet Place
Tully
The Ballad of Buster Scruggs
Sorry to Bother You
Hereditary
Ben is Back
Blindspotting

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Writing – Adapted Screenplay (12/14/18)
BlacKkKlansman
If Beale Street Could Talk
A Star is Born
Can You Ever Forgive Me?
Mary Poppins Returns

Alternates
Crazy Rich Asians
First Man
Leave No Trace
Black Panther

Dark Horses
Widows
The Hate U Give
The Death of Stalin
Burning
Boy Erased
Wildlife

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Animated Feature Film (12/14/18)
Incredibles 2
Ralph Breaks the Internet
Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse
Isle of Dogs
Mirai

Alternates
Early Man
Smallfoot
The Grinch
Teen Titans Go! To The Movies

Dark Horses
Ruben Brandt, Collector
Ana y Bruno
Maquia: When the Promised Flower Blooms
The Night is Short, Walk on Girl
Fireworks
Sherlock Gnomes

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Cinematography (12/14/18)
Roma
If Beale Street Could Talk
First Man
A Star is Born
Cold War

Alternates
The Favourite
Black Panther
Mary Poppins Returns
The Ballad of Buster Scruggs

Dark Horses
At Eternity’s Gate
Green Book
Widows
Mary Queen of Scots

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Costume Design (12/14/18)
Black Panther
The Favourite
Mary Poppins Returns
Mary Queen of Scots
Fantastic Beasts: The Crimes of Grindelwald

Alternates
Crazy Rich Asians
If Beale Street Could Talk
Colette
Bohemian Rhapsody
All is True

Dark Horses
Vox Lux
First Man
Aquaman
Suspiria
The Nutcracker and the Four Realms
A Wrinkle in Time
Green Book

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Film Editing (12/14/18)
First Man
Roma
A Star is Born
Vice
The Favourite

Alternates
BlacKkKlansman
If Beale Street Could Talk
Mission Impossible – Fallout
Black Panther

Dark Horses
Mary Poppins Returns
A Quiet Place
Green Book

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Makeup & Hairstyling (12/14/18)
Border
Black Panther
Vice

Alternates
The Favourite
Mary Queen of Scots

Dark Horses
Stan & Ollie
Uncle Drew
Bohemian Rhapsody
Mary Poppins Returns

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Original Score (12/14/18)
First Man
If Beale Street Could Talk
Mary Poppins Returns
Isle of Dogs
Black Panther

Alternates
Suspiria
BlacKkKlansman
Mary Queen of Scots
Widows

Dark Horses
Vice
Green Book
The Ballad of Buster Scruggs
The Sisters Brothers
Eighth Grade

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Original Song (12/14/18)
TBD

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Production Design (06/13/18)
Black Panther
The Nutcracker and the Four Realms
Mary Queen of Scots
The Favourite
First Man

Alternates
Mary Poppins Returns
The Sisters Brothers
Peterloo
Fantastic Beasts: The Crimes of Grindelwald
Bohemian Rhapsody

Dark Horses
Aquaman
Isle of Dogs
Mowgli
Colette
Solo: A Star Wars Story
Ready Player One
Alpha
Backseat
Bad Times at the El Royale
At Eternity’s Gate
On the Basis of Sex

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Sound Editing (10/10/18)
First Man
Ad Astra
The Nutcracker and the Four Realms
Mission Impossible: Fallout
Black Panther

Alternates
Widows
Isle of Dogs
A Star is Born
Bumblebee
Incredibles 2
Annihilation
Avengers: Infinity War
Ready Player One
Bohemian Rhapsody

Dark Horses
Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom
Solo: A Star Wars Story
Peterloo
Alita: Battle Angel
A Wrinkle in Time

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Sound Mixing (10/10/18)
First Man
Ad Astra
A Star is Born
The Nutcracker and the Four Realms
Mission Impossible: Fallout

Alternates
Black Panther
Avengers: Infinity War
Bohemain Rhapsody
Mary Poppins Returns
Widows
Ready Player One
Annihilation

Dark Horses
Peterloo
Bumblebee
The Favourite
Alita: Battle Angel
The Sisters Brothers
A Wrinkle in Time

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Visual Effects (10/10/18)
First Man
Avengers: Infinity War
Black Panther
Ad Astra
Bumblebee

Alternates
Fantastic Beasts: The Crimes of Grindelwald
Solo: A Star Wars Story
Ready Player One
Annihilation
Alita: Battle Angel
Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom

Dark Horses
Mission Impossible: Fallout
Isle of Dogs
Aquaman
Mortal Engines
A Quiet Place
The Nutcracker and the Four Realms

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Documentary Feature (06/13/18)
TBD

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Foreign Feature (06/13/18)
TBD