Oscar Tiers

This page has the tiers for our “Oscar Predictions.” This is a ranking-guide we use when making our predictions.

Last Update: 10/08/18


Picture (10/08/18)

Tier 1
BlacKkKlansman (Focus Features)
The Favourite (Fox Searchlight Pictures)
First Man (Universal Pictures)
Roma (Netflix)
A Star is Born (Warner Bros Pictures)

Tier 2
Green Book (Universal Pictures)
If Beale Street Could Talk (Annapurna Pictures)

Tier 3
Black Panther (Marvel Studios)
Vice (Annapurna Pictures)
Widows (20th Century Fox)

Tier 4
Boy Erased (Focus Features)
Can You Ever Forgive Me? (Fox Searchlight Pictures)
Mary Poppins Returns (Walt Disney Pictures)

Bubble
Ad Astra (20th Century Fox)
Beautiful Boy (Amazon Studios)
Bohemian Rhapsody (20th Century Fox)
Crazy Rich Asians (Warner Bros.)
Eighth Grade (A24)
Leave No Trace (Bleecker Street)
The Old Man and the Gun (Fox Searchlight Pictures)
On the Basis of Sex (Universal Pictures)
A Quiet Place (Paramount Pictures)


Director (10/08/18)

Tier 1
Bradley Cooper – A Star is Born
Alfonso Cuaron – Roma

Tier 2
Damien Chazelle – First Man
Yorgos Lanthimos – The Favourite
Barry Jenkins – If Beale Street Could Talk
Spike Lee – BlacKkKlansman

Tier 3
Ryan Coogler – Black Panther
Peter Farrelly – Green Book
Adam McKay – Vice
Steve McQueen – Widows

Tier 4
James Gray – Ad Astra
Marielle Heller – Can You Ever Forgive Me?

Bubble
Paul Dano – Wildlife
Clint Eastwood – The Mule
Joel Edgerton – Boy Erased
Drew Goddard – Bad Times at the El Royale
David Lowery – The Old Man and the Gun
Bryan Singer – Bohemian Rhapsody


Lead Actor (10/08/18)

Tier 1
Christian Bale – Vice
Bradley Cooper – A Star is Born
Ryan Gosling – First Man
Viggo Mortensen – Green Book

Tier 2
Rami Malek – Bohemian Rhapsody

Tier 3
Willem Dafoe – At Eternity’s Gate
Clint Eastwood – The Mule
Ethan Hawke – First Reformed
Lucas Hedges – Boy Erased
Robert Redford – The Old Man and the Gun

Tier 4
Steve Carell – Beautiful Boy
Ben Foster – Leave No Trace
Hugh Jackman – The Front Runner
Brad Pitt – Ad Astra
John David Washington – BlaKkKlansman

Bubble
Chadwick Boseman – Black Panther
Joaquin Phoenix – You Were Never Really Here


Lead Actress (10/08/18)

Tier 1
Glenn Close – The Wife
Lady Gaga – A Star is Born

Tier 2
Yalitza Aparicio – Roma
Viola Davis – Widows
Melissa McCarthy – Can You Ever Forgive Me?
Emma Stone – The Favourite

Tier 3
Emily Blunt – Mary Poppins Returns
Toni Collette – Hereditary
Nicole Kidman – Destroyer

Tier 4
Elsie Fisher – Eighth Grade
Felicity Jones – On the Basis of Sex
Kiki Layne – If Beale Street Could Talk
Carey Mulligan – Wildlife
Julia Roberts – Ben is Back
Saoirse Ronan – Mary Queen of Scots

Bubble
Keira Knightley – Colette
Joanna Kulig – Cold War
Julianne Moore – Gloria Bell
Rosamund Pike – A Private War
Amandla Stenberg – The Hate U Give
Charlize Theron – Tully
Constance Wu – Crazy Rich Asians


Supporting Actor (10/08/18)

Tier 1
Mahershala Ali – Green Book
Sam Elliott – A Star is Born
Richard E. Grant – Can You Ever Forgive Me?

Tier 2
Timothee Chalamet – Beautiful Boy
Daniel Kaluuya – Widows
Sam Rockwell – Vice

Tier 3
Adam Driver – BlacKkKlansman
Stephen James – If Beale Street Could Talk
Michael B. Jordan – Black Panther

Tier 4
Russell Crowe – Boy Erased
Armie Hammer – On the Basis of Sex
Nicholas Hoult – The Favourite
Jonathan Pryce – The Wife

Bubble
Harry Belafonte – BlacKkKlansman
Kyle Chandler – First Man
Robert Duvall – Widows
Lucas Hedges – Ben is Back


Supporting Actress (10/08/18)

Tier 1
Amy Adams – Vice
Claire Foy – First Man
Regina King – If Beale Street Could Talk
Rachel Weisz – The Favourite

Tier 2
Olivia Colman – The Favourite

Tier 3
Nicole Kidman – Boy Erased
Natalie Portman – Vox Lux
Michelle Yeoh – Crazy Rich Asians

Tier 4
Marina de Tavira – Roma
Elizabeth Debicki – Widows
Sissy Spacek – The Old Man and the Gun
Tilda Swinton – Suspiria

Bubble
Cynthia Erivo – Bad Times at the El Royale
Regina Hall – The Hate U Give
Margot Robbie – Mary Queen of Scots
Meryl Streep – Mary Poppins Returns


Writing – Original Screenplay (10/08/18)

Tier 1
The Favourite
Green Book
Roma
Vice

Tier 2
Eighth Grade
First Reformed

Tier 3
The Ballad of Buster Scruggs
Hereditary
Mid ’90s
A Quiet Place

Bubble
Ad Astra
At Eternity’s Gate
Isle of Dogs
On the Basis of Sex
Sorry to Bother You
Tully


Writing – Adapted Screenplay (10/08/18)

Tier 1
BlacKkKlansman
If Beale Street Could Talk
A Star is Born

Tier 2
Can You Ever Forgive Me?
First Man
Widows

Tier 3
Beautiful Boy
Black Panther
Crazy Rich Asians
Wildlife

Bubble
Boy Erased
The Front Runner
Mary Poppins Returns
The Old Man and the Gun
The Sisters Brothers
The Wife


Animated Feature Film (10/09/18)

Tier 1
Incredibles 2
Isle of Dogs
Ralph Breaks the Internet

Tier 2
Early Man
Mirai

Tier 3
The Grinch
Spider-Man: Into the Spider-verse
Smallfoot

Bubble
Maquia: When the Promised Flower Blooms
Mary and the Witch’s Flower
Teen Titans GO! to the Movies


Cinematography (10/09/18)

Tier 1
Alfonso Cuaron – Roma
James Laxton – If Beale Street Could Talk
Matthew Libatique – A Star is Born
Linus Sandgren – First Man

Tier 2
Rachel Morrison – Black Panther
Robbie Ryan – The Favourite
Lukasz Zal – Cold War

Tier 3
Sean Bobbitt – Widows
Bruno Delbonnel – The Ballad of Buster Scruggs
Benoit Delhomme – At Eternity’s Gate
Hoyte Van Hoytema – Ad Astra

Bubble
Dion Beebe – Mary Poppins Returns
Yves Belanger – The Mule
Charlotte Bruus Christensen – A Quiet Place
Greig Fraser – Vice
Julie Kirkwood – Destroyer
Sayombhu Mukdeeprom – Suspiria
Bill Pope – Alita: Battle Angel
Dick Pope – Peterloo


Costume Design (10/09/18)

Tier 1
The Favourite

Tier 2
Black Panther
Fantastic Beasts: The Crimes of Grindelwald
Mary Poppins Returns
Mary Queen of Scots
The Nutcracker and the Four Realms

Tier 3
The Ballad of Buster Scruggs
BlacKkKlansman
Bohemian Rhapsody
Colette
First Man
Peterloo
A Star is Born

Bubble
Crazy Rich Asians
Green Book
If Beale Street Could Talk
The Sisters Brothers
Suspiria


Film Editing (10/09/18)

Tier 1
First Man
Roma
A Star is Born

Tier 2
BlacKkKlansman
Black Panther
The Favourite
Vice
Widows

Tier 4
Ad Astra
If Beale Street Could Talk
Bohemian Rhapsody
Mary Poppins Returns
Mission Impossible: Fallout
The Old Man and the Gun
The Other Side of the Wind
A Quiet Place

Bubble
Bad Times at the El Royale
Destroyer
The Mule
Ready Player One
Searching
The Sisters Brothers
Sorry to Bother You
12 Strong


Makeup & Hairstyling (10/10/18)

Tier 1
Vice

Tier 2
Black Panther
The Favourite

Tier 3
Border
Mary Queen of Scots
The Nutcracker and the Four Realms
Stan & Ollie
Uncle Drew

Tier 4
Bohemian Rhapsody
Destroyer
Fantastic Beasts: The Crimes of Grindelwald
The Happy Prince
Mary Poppins Returns
A Star is Born
A Wrinkle in Time

Bubble
Aquaman
Avengers: Infinity War
The Ballad of Buster Scruggs
BlacKkKlansman
The Front Runner
If Beale Street Could Talk
Peterloo


Original Score (10/10/18)

Tier 1
Nicholas Britell – If Beale Street Could Talk
Justin Hurwitz – First Man

Tier 2
Terence Blanchard – BlacKkKlansman
Alexandre Desplat – Isle of Dogs
Ludwig Goransson – Black Panther
Marc Shaiman, Scott Wittman – Mary Poppins Returns
Hans Zimmer – Widows

Tier 3
Nicholas Britell – Vice
Thomas Newman – Ad Astra
Carter Burwell – The Ballad of Buster Scruggs
Alexandre Desplat – The Sisters Borthers
Michael Giacchino – Incredibles 2
Thom Yorke – Suspiria

Bubble
Marco Beltrami – A Quiet Place
Kris Bowers – Green Book
Danny Elfman – The Grinch
Atticus Finch, Trent Reznor – Mid ’90s
Komeil S. Hosseini – The Favourite
Komeil S. Hosseini – Roma
James Newton Howard – Fantastic Beasts: Crimes of Grindelwald
Johann Johannsson – Mandy
Gabriel Yared – The Happy Prince
Gary Yerson – Peterloo


Original Song

Tier 1

Tier 2

Tier 3

Tier 4

Bubble


Sound Editing (06/13/18)

Tier 1
First Man

Tier 2
Avengers: Infinity War
Black Panther
Solo: A Star Wars Story
A Star is Born

Tier 3
Ad Astra
Annihilation
Bohemian Rhapsody
Bumblebee
Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom
Mary Poppins Returns
The Nutcracker and the Four Realms
Peterloo
Ready Player One
Suspiria
Widows

Tier 4
Alita: Battle Angel
Alpha
Incredibles 2
Mission Impossible: Fallout
Mortal Engines
Outlaw King
Sicario: Day of the Soldado
The Sisters Brothers
A Wrinkle in Time

Bubble
Ant-Man and the Wasp
Vice
Bad Times at the El Royale
Deadpool 2
The Favourite
The Happytime Murders
High Life
Hold the Dark
Hotel Artemis
Isle of Dogs
Judy
The Predator
Under the Silver Lake
Venom
Wendy


Sound Mixing (06/13/18)

Tier 1
First Man

Tier 2
Black Panther
Bohemian Rhapsody
Ready Player One
Solo: A Star Wars Story
A Star is Born
Widows

Tier 3
Ad Astra
Avengers: Infinity War
Vice
Mary Poppins Returns
The Nutcracker and the Four Realms
Peterloo
The Sisters Brothers
Suspiria

Tier 4
Alita: Battle Angel
Alpha
Annihilation
Bumblebee
The Favourite
Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom
Judy
Mission Impossible: Fallout
Mortal Engines
Outlaw King
Sicario: Day of the Soldado
A Wrinkle in Time

Bubble
Ant-Man and the Wasp
Bad Times at the El Royale
Deadpool 2
The Happytime Murders
High Life
Hold the Dark
Hotel Artemis
Incrediles 2
Isle of Dogs
Overlord
The Predator
Under the Silver Lake
Venom
Wendy


Visual Effects (10/10/18)

Tier 1
Ad Astra
Avengers: Infinity War
Black Panther
First Man

Tier 2
Annihilation
Bumblebee
Fantastic Beasts: The Crimes of Grindelwald
Ready Player One
Solo: A Star Wars Story

Tier 3
Alita: Battle Angel
Ant-Man and the Wasp
Aquaman
Deadpool 2
Isle of Dogs
Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom
Mary Poppins Returns
Mission Impossible: Fallout
Mortal Engines
A Quiet Place

Bubble
Alpha
Hereditary
The Meg
The Nutcracker and the Four Realms
Rampage
Skyscraper
A Wrinkle in Time


Documentary Feature (10/10/18)

Tier 1
Free Solo
Minding the Gap
RBG
Three Identical Strangers
Won’t You Be My Neighbor?

Tier 2
Fahrenheit 11/9
Jane Fonda in Five Acts
RBG

Tier 3
McQueen
They’ll Love Me When I’m Dead
TransMilitary

Tier 3
306 Hollywood
Crime + Punishment
The Elephant Queen
Fahrenheit 11/9
Generation Wealth
Putin’s Witnesses

Bubble
Bisbee ’17
The China Hustle
Dirty Money
The Gamechangers
Genesis 2.0
Grace Jones: Bloodlight and Bami
Hale County This Morning, This Evening
The Heart of Nuba
Hitler’s Hollywood
Inventing Tomorrow
Jane Fonda in Five Acts
The Judge
Kailash
The Last Race
Mantangi/Maya/M.I.A.
Of Fathers and Sons
On Her Shoulders
Operation Odessa
The Oslo Diaries
Our New President
Pandas
Pennywise: The Story of IT
The Price of Everything
Robin Williams: Come Inside My Mind
Seeing Allred
The Sentence
Shirkers
Studio 54
Take You Pills
This is Home: A Refugee Story
Westwood: Punk, Icon, Act


Foreign Feature (06/13/18)

Tier 1
Everybody Knows
Roma

Tier 2
Cold War
Girl
The Guilty
Loro
Sunset

Tier 3
Birds of Passage
Climax
An Elephant Sitting Still
The Heiress
Shoplifters
Sofia
The Wild Pear Tree

Tier 4
Daughter of Mine
Happy as a Lazaaro
July 22
Leto
My Favorite Fabric
Season of the Devil
Weldi
Woman at War
Yomeddine

Bubble
Ayka
Border
Capernaum
Diamantino
Donbass
Grass
Pity
Retablo

Advertisements