Oscar Tiers

This page has the tiers for our “Oscar Predictions.” This is a ranking-guide we use when making our predictions.

Last Update: 12/14/18


Picture (12/14/18)

Tier 1
The Favourite
Green Book
If Beale Street Could Talk
Roma
A Star is Born

Tier 2
BlacKkKlansman
Black Panther
Vice

Tier 3
First Man
First Reformed
Mary Poppins Returns

Tier 4
Boehmian Rhapsody
Can You Ever Forgive Me?
Eighth Grade
A Quiet Place

Bubble
Boy Erased
Crazy Rich Asians
Leave No Trace
Mary Queen of Scots
Widows


Director (12/14/18)

Tier 1
Bradley Cooper – A Star is Born
Alfonso Cuaron – Roma

Tier 2
Barry Jenkins – If Beale Street Could Talk
Spike Lee – BlacKkKlansman

Tier 3
Damien Chazelle – First Man
Ryan Coogler – Black Panther
Peter Farrelly – Green Book
Adam McKay – Vice

Bubble
Steve McQueen – Widows
Paul Schrader – First Reformed


Lead Actor (12/14/18)

Tier 1
Christian Bale – Vice
Bradley Cooper – A Star is Born
Viggo Mortensen – Green Book

Tier 2
Ethan Hawke – First Reformed
Rami Malek – Bohemian Rhapsody

Tier 3
Ryan Gosling – First Man

Tier 4
Willem Dafoe – At Eternity’s Gate
Clint Eastwood – The Mule
John David Washington – BlacKkKlansman

Bubble
Ben Foster – Leave No Trace
Lucas Hedges – Boy Erased
Stephen James – If Beale Street Could Talk
Lin-Manuel Miranda – Mary Poppins Returns
Robert Redford – The Old Man and the Gun
John C. Reilly – Stan & Ollie


Lead Actress (12/14/18)

Tier 1
Glenn Close – The Wife
Olivia Colman – The Favourite
Lady Gaga – A Star is Born

Tier 2
Yalitza Aparicio – Roma
Emily Blunt – Mary Poppins Returns
Melissa McCarthy – Can You Ever Forgive Me?

Tier 3
Toni Collette – Hereditary
Viola Davis – Widows

Tier 4
Elsie Fisher – Eighth Grade
Regina Hall – Support the Girls
Nicole Kidman – Destroyer
Rosamund Pike – A Private War
Julia Roberts – Ben is Back

Bubble
Joanna Kulig – Cold War
Kiki Layne – If Beale Street Could Talk
Carey Mulligan – Wildlife
Saoirse Ronan – Mary Queen of Scots


Supporting Actor (12/14/18)

Tier 1
Mahershala Ali – Green Book
Sam Elliott – A Star is Born
Ricahard E. Grant – Can You Ever Forgive Me?

Tier 2
Adam Driver – BlacKkKlansman

Tier 3
Timothee Chalamet – Beautiful Boy
Michael B. Jordan – Black Panther
Sam Rockwell – Vice

Tier 4
Steve Carell – Vice
Brian Tyree Henry – If Beale Street Could Talk
Nicholas Hoult – The Favourite
Jonathan Pryce – The Wife

Bubble
Russell Crowe – Boy Erased
Dick Van Dyke – Mary Poppins Returns
Josh Hamilton – Eighth Grade
Daniel Kaluuya – Widows
John Krasinski – A Quiet Place


Supporting Actress (12/14/18)

Tier 1
Amy Adams – Vice
Regina King – If Beale Street Could Talk
Emma Stone – The Favourite
Rachel Weisz – The Favourite

Tier 2
Claire Foy – First Man

Tier 3
Emily Blunt – A Quiet Place
Nicole Kidman – Boy Erased
Natalie Portman – Vox Lux
Margot Robbie – Mary Queen of Scots
Michelle Yeoh – Crazy Rich Asians

Tier 4
Thomasin Harcourt Mackenzie – Leave No Trace
Meryl Streep – Mary Poppins Returns

Bubble
Marina de Tavira – Roma
Elizabeth Debicki – Widows
Rachel McAdams – Disobedience


Writing – Original Screenplay (12/14/18)

Tier 1
The Favourite
First Reformed
Roma

Tier 2
Eighth Grade
Green Book
Vice

Tier 3
A Quiet Place
Sorry to Bother You

Bubble
The Ballad Buster Scruggs
Ben is Back
Blindspotting
Colette
Hereditary
Private Life
Support the Girls
Tully


Writing – Adapted Screenplay (12/14/18)

Tier 1
BlacKkKlansman
Can You Ever Forgive Me?
If Beale Street Could Talk
A Star is Born

Tier 2
First Man
Leave No Trace
Mary Poppins Returns
Widows

Tier 3
Black Panther
Crazy Rich Asians
The Death of Stalin
The Hate U Give

Bubble
Boy Erased
Burning
Mary Queen of Scots
The Mule
The Old Man and the Gun
The Wife
Wildlife
You Were Never Really Here


Animated Feature Film (12/14/18)

Tier 1
Incredibles 2
Isle of Dogs
Ralph Breaks the Internet
Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse

Tier 2
Early Man
Mirai
Smallfoot

Tier 3
The Grinch
Ruben Brandt, Collector
Teen Titans Go! To the Movies

Bubble
Ana y Bruno
Fireworks
Maquia: When the Promised Flower Blooms
The Night is Short, Walk on Girl
On Happiness Road
Sherlock Gnomes
Tall Tales


Cinematography (12/14/18)

Tier 1
Alfonso Cuaron – Roma
James Laxton – If Beale Street Could Talk
Matthew Libatique – A Star is Born

Tier 2
Robbie Ryan – The Favourite
Linus Sandgren – First Man
Lukasz Zal – Cold War

Tier 3
Dion Beebe – Mary Poppins Returns
Bruno Delbonnel – The Ballad of Buster Scruggs
John Mathieson – Mary Queen of Scots
Rachel Morrison – Black Panther

Bubble
Sean Bobbitt – Widows
Benoit Delhomme – At Eternity’s Gate
Sean Porter – Green Book


Costume Design (12/14/18)

Tier 1
Black Panther
The Favourite
Mary Poppins Returns
Mary Queen of Scots

Tier 2
Fantastic Beasts: The Crimes of Grindelwald
If Beale Street Could Talk

Tier 3
All is True
Bohemian Rhapsody
Colette
Crazy Rich Asians
First Man
A Star is Born
Vox Lux

Bubble
Aquaman
At Eternity’s Gate
The Ballad of Buster Scruggs
BlacKkKlansman
Green Book
The Nutcracker and the Four Realms
On the Basis of Sex
Roma
The Sisters of Brothers
Suspiria
Vice
A Wrinkle in Time


Film Editing (12/14/18)

Tier 1
First Man
Roma
A Star is Born

Tier 2
The Favourite
Vice

Tier 4
BlacKkKlansman
Black Panther
If Beale Street Could Talk

Bubble
Green Book
Mary Poppins Returns
Mission Impossible – Fallout
A Quiet Place


Makeup & Hairstyling (12/14/18)

Tier 1
Black Panther
Border
Vice

Tier 2
The Favourite
Mary Queen of Scots

Tier 3
Bohemian Rhapsody
Mary Poppins Returns
Stan & Ollie
Uncle Drew


Original Score (12/14/18)

Tier 1
Nicholas Britell – If Beale Street Could Talk
Justin Hurwitz – First Man
Marc Shaiman, Scott Wittman – Mary Poppins Returns

Tier 2
Alexandre Desplat – Isle of Dogs

Tier 3
Terence Blanchard – BlacKkKlansman
Ludwig Goransson – Black Panther
Max Richter – Mary Queen of Scots
Thom Yorke – Suspiria
Hans Zimmer – Widows

Bubble
Kris Bowers – Green Book
Nicholas Britell – Vice
Carter Burwell – The Ballad of Buster Scruggs
Alexandre Desplat – The Sisters Borthers
Anna Meredith – Eighth Grade


Original Song

Tier 1

Tier 2

Tier 3

Tier 4

Bubble


Sound Editing (06/13/18)

Tier 1
First Man

Tier 2
Avengers: Infinity War
Black Panther
Solo: A Star Wars Story
A Star is Born

Tier 3
Ad Astra
Annihilation
Bohemian Rhapsody
Bumblebee
Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom
Mary Poppins Returns
The Nutcracker and the Four Realms
Peterloo
Ready Player One
Suspiria
Widows

Tier 4
Alita: Battle Angel
Alpha
Incredibles 2
Mission Impossible: Fallout
Mortal Engines
Outlaw King
Sicario: Day of the Soldado
The Sisters Brothers
A Wrinkle in Time

Bubble
Ant-Man and the Wasp
Vice
Bad Times at the El Royale
Deadpool 2
The Favourite
The Happytime Murders
High Life
Hold the Dark
Hotel Artemis
Isle of Dogs
Judy
The Predator
Under the Silver Lake
Venom
Wendy


Sound Mixing (06/13/18)

Tier 1
First Man

Tier 2
Black Panther
Bohemian Rhapsody
Ready Player One
Solo: A Star Wars Story
A Star is Born
Widows

Tier 3
Ad Astra
Avengers: Infinity War
Vice
Mary Poppins Returns
The Nutcracker and the Four Realms
Peterloo
The Sisters Brothers
Suspiria

Tier 4
Alita: Battle Angel
Alpha
Annihilation
Bumblebee
The Favourite
Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom
Judy
Mission Impossible: Fallout
Mortal Engines
Outlaw King
Sicario: Day of the Soldado
A Wrinkle in Time

Bubble
Ant-Man and the Wasp
Bad Times at the El Royale
Deadpool 2
The Happytime Murders
High Life
Hold the Dark
Hotel Artemis
Incrediles 2
Isle of Dogs
Overlord
The Predator
Under the Silver Lake
Venom
Wendy


Visual Effects (10/10/18)

Tier 1
Ad Astra
Avengers: Infinity War
Black Panther
First Man

Tier 2
Annihilation
Bumblebee
Fantastic Beasts: The Crimes of Grindelwald
Ready Player One
Solo: A Star Wars Story

Tier 3
Alita: Battle Angel
Ant-Man and the Wasp
Aquaman
Deadpool 2
Isle of Dogs
Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom
Mary Poppins Returns
Mission Impossible: Fallout
Mortal Engines
A Quiet Place

Bubble
Alpha
Hereditary
The Meg
The Nutcracker and the Four Realms
Rampage
Skyscraper
A Wrinkle in Time


Documentary Feature (10/10/18)

Tier 1
Free Solo
Minding the Gap
RBG
Three Identical Strangers
Won’t You Be My Neighbor?

Tier 2
Fahrenheit 11/9
Jane Fonda in Five Acts
RBG

Tier 3
McQueen
They’ll Love Me When I’m Dead
TransMilitary

Tier 3
306 Hollywood
Crime + Punishment
The Elephant Queen
Fahrenheit 11/9
Generation Wealth
Putin’s Witnesses

Bubble
Bisbee ’17
The China Hustle
Dirty Money
The Gamechangers
Genesis 2.0
Grace Jones: Bloodlight and Bami
Hale County This Morning, This Evening
The Heart of Nuba
Hitler’s Hollywood
Inventing Tomorrow
Jane Fonda in Five Acts
The Judge
Kailash
The Last Race
Mantangi/Maya/M.I.A.
Of Fathers and Sons
On Her Shoulders
Operation Odessa
The Oslo Diaries
Our New President
Pandas
Pennywise: The Story of IT
The Price of Everything
Robin Williams: Come Inside My Mind
Seeing Allred
The Sentence
Shirkers
Studio 54
Take You Pills
This is Home: A Refugee Story
Westwood: Punk, Icon, Act


Foreign Feature (06/13/18)

Tier 1
Everybody Knows
Roma

Tier 2
Cold War
Girl
The Guilty
Loro
Sunset

Tier 3
Birds of Passage
Climax
An Elephant Sitting Still
The Heiress
Shoplifters
Sofia
The Wild Pear Tree

Tier 4
Daughter of Mine
Happy as a Lazaaro
July 22
Leto
My Favorite Fabric
Season of the Devil
Weldi
Woman at War
Yomeddine

Bubble
Ayka
Border
Capernaum
Diamantino
Donbass
Grass
Pity
Retablo

Advertisements