Oscar Tiers

This page has the tiers for our “Oscar Predictions.” This is a ranking-guide we use when making our predictions.

Last Update: 01/10/19


Picture (01/10/19)

Tier 1
Black Panther
BlacKkKlansman
The Favourite
Green Book
Roma
A Star is Born

Tier 2
Bohemian Rhapsody
If Beale Street Could Talk
Vice

Tier 3
First Man
A Quiet Place

Tier 4
Can You Ever Forgive Me?
Crazy Rich Asians
Eighth Grade
First Reformed
Mary Poppins Returns

Bubble
Leave No Trace


Director (01/10/19)

Tier 1
Bradley Cooper – A Star is Born
Alfonso Cuaron – Roma
Yorgos Lanthimos – The Favourite
Spike Lee – BlacKkKlansman

Tier 2
Ryan Coogler – Black Panther
Barry Jenkins – If Beale Street Could Talk

Tier 3
Peter Farrelly – Green Book
Adam McKay – Vice

Bubble
Damien Chazelle – First Man
John Krasinski – A Quiet Place
Rob Marshall – Mary Poppins Returns
Paul Schrader – First Reformed


Lead Actor (01/10/19)

Tier 1
Christian Bale – Vice
Bradley Cooper – A Star is Born
Rami Malek – Bohemian Rhapsody
Viggo Mortensen – Green Book

Tier 2
Ethan Hawke – First Reformed
John David Washington – BlacKkKlansman

Tier 3
Ryan Gosling – First Man

Bubble
Willem Dafoe – At Eternity’s Gate
Ben Foster – Leave No Trace
Lucas Hedges – Boy Erased
Robert Redford – The Old Man and the Gun


Lead Actress (01/14/19)

Tier 1
Glenn Close – The Wife
Olivia Colman – The Favourite
Lady Gaga – A Star is Born
Melissa McCarthy – Can You Ever Forgive Me?

Tier 2
Yalitza Aparicio – Roma
Emily Blunt – Mary Poppins Returns
Viola Davis – Widows

Tier 3
Toni Collette – Hereditary

Tier 4
Elsie Fisher – Eighth Grade
Nicole Kidman – Destroyer

Bubble
Regina Hall – Support the Girls
Rosamund Pike – A Private War


Supporting Actor (01/10/19)

Tier 1
Mahershala Ali – Green Book
Adam Driver – BlacKkKlansman
Sam Elliott – A Star is Born
Ricahard E. Grant – Can You Ever Forgive Me?

Tier 2
Timothee Chalamet – Beautiful Boy

Tier 3
Nicholas Hoult – The Favourite
Michael B. Jordan – Black Panther
Sam Rockwell – Vice


Supporting Actress (01/10/19)

Tier 1
Amy Adams – Vice
Regina King – If Beale Street Could Talk
Emma Stone – The Favourite
Rachel Weisz – The Favourite

Tier 2
Emily Blunt – A Quiet Place
Claire Foy – First Man
Margot Robbie – Mary Queen of Scots

Tier 3
Marina de Tavira – Roma
Nicole Kidman – Boy ERased

Bubble
Thomasin Harcourt Mackenzie – Leave No Trace


Writing – Original Screenplay (01/14/19)

Tier 1
The Favourite
First Reformed
Roma

Tier 2
Eighth Grade
First Reformed
Green Book

Tier 3
A Quiet Place
Vice

Bubble
The Ballad Buster Scruggs
Cold War
Sorry to Bother You


Writing – Adapted Screenplay (01/14/19)

Tier 1
BlacKkKlansman
Can You Ever Forgive Me?
If Beale Street Could Talk
A Star is Born

Tier 2
Black Panther
Leave No Trace

Tier 3
Crazy Rich Asians
The Death of Stalin
First Man

Bubble
Beautiful Boy
Boy Erased
Burning
The Hate U Give
Mary Poppins Returns
Widows


Animated Feature Film (01/14/19)

Tier 1
Incredibles 2
Isle of Dogs
Mirai
Ralph Breaks the Internet
Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse

Tier 2
Early Man

Tier 3
The Grinch

Bubble
Ruben Brandt, Collector
Smallfoot


Cinematography (01/14/19)

Tier 1
Alfonso Cuaron – Roma
James Laxton – If Beale Street Could Talk
Matthew Libatique – A Star is Born
Robbie Ryan – The Favourite
Lukasz Zal – Cold War

Tier 2
Linus Sandgren – First Man

Tier 3
Bruno Delbonnel – The Ballad of Buster Scruggs
Chayse Irvin – BlacKkKlansman
Rachel Morrison – Black Panther

Bubble
Dion Beebe – Mary Poppins Returns
Sean Bobbitt – Widows
Benoit Delhomme – At Eternity’s Gate
Greig Fraser – Vice
Sean Porter – Green Book


Costume Design (01/14/19)

Tier 1
Black Panther
The Favourite
Mary Poppins Returns

Tier 2
Bohemian Rhapsody
Mary Queen of Scots

Tier 3
Colette
Crazy Rich Asians
Fantastic Beasts: The Crimes of Grindelwald
If Beale Street Could Talk
The Nutcracker and the Four Realms
Suspiria

Bubble
All is True
The Death of Stalin
A Star is Born


Film Editing (01/14/19)

Tier 1
First Man
Roma
A Star is Born

Tier 2
BlacKkKlansman
Black Panther
The Favourite
Vice

Tier 3
Bohemian Rhapsody
Mission Impossible – Fallout

Tier 4
Green Book
If Beale Street Could Talk
A Quiet Place
Widows

Bubble
The Ballad of Buster Scruggs
Mary Poppins Returns


Makeup & Hairstyling (01/14/19)

Tier 1
Black Panther
Border
Vice

Tier 2
Mary Queen of Scots
Stan & Ollie
Suspiria

Tier 3
Bohemian Rhapsody


Original Score (01/14/19)

Tier 1
First Man – Justin Hurwitz
If Beale Street Could Talk – Nicholas Britell
Mary Poppins Returns – Marc Shaiman, Scott Wittman

Tier 2
BlacKkKlansman – Terence Blanchard
Black Panther – Ludwig Goransson
Isle of Dogs – Alexandre Desplat

Tier 3
Annihilation – Geoff Barrow, Ben Salisbury
The Ballad of Buster Scruggs – Carter Burwell
A Quiet Place – Marco Beltrami
Vice – Nicholas Britell

Bubble
Avengers: Infinity War – Alan Silvestri
Crazy Rich Asians – Brian Tyler
The Death of Stalin – Christopher Willis
Fantastic Beasts: The Crimes of Grindelwald – James Newton Howard
Ready Player One – Alan Silverstri


Original Song (12/19/18)

Tier 1
Black Panther – “All the Stars”
A Star is Born – “Shallow”

Tier 2
Dumplin’ – “Girl in the Movies”
Mary Poppins Returns – “The Place Where Lost Things Go”
Mary Poppins Returns – “Trip a Little Light Fantastic”
RBG – “I’ll Fight”

Tier 3
The Ballad of Buster Scruggs – “When a Cowboy Trades His Spurs for Wings”
Boy Erased – “Revelation”
Suspiria – “Suspirium”

Tier 4
The Hate U Give – “We Won’t Move”
Quincy – “Keep Reachin”

Bubble
Beautiful Boy – “Treasure”
Ralph Breaks the Internet – “A Place Called Slaughter Race”
Sorry to Bother You – “OYAHYTT”
Widows – “The Big Unknown”

Production Design (01/14/19)

Tier 1
Black Panther
The Favourite
First Man
Mary Poppins Returns

Tier 2
Fantastic Beasts: The Crimes of Grindelwald
Mary Queen of Scots
Roma

Tier 3
If Beale Street Could Talk
Isle of Dogs

Tier 4
Aquaman
The Ballad of Buster Scruggs
BlacKkKlansman
Crazy Rich Asians
Green Book
The Nutcracker and the Four Realms
A Star is Born

Bubble
All is True
Can You Ever Forgive Me?
Colette
Hereditary
Mortal Engines
Ready Player One
Suspiria
Vice
Welcome to Marwen


Sound Editing (12/19/18)

Tier 1
Black Panther
First Man
A Quiet Place

Tier 2
Mission Impossible: Fallout
Roma
A Star is Born

Tier 3
Avengers: Infinity War
Mary Poppins Returns

Tier 4
Annihilation
Bohemian Rhapsody
Incredibles 2
Ready Player One
Widows

Bubble
Aquaman
Ant-Man and the Wasp
BlacKkKlansman
Bumblebee
The Favourite
Green Book
The Mule
Pacific Rim Uprising
Sicario: Day of the Soldado
12 Strong
Vice


Sound Mixing (12/19/18)

Tier 1
Black Panther
First Man
A Quiet Place
A Star is Born

Tier 2
Mary Poppins Returns
Roma

Tier 3
Avengers: Infinity War
Bohemian Rhapsody

Tier 4
BlacKkKlansman
Incredibles 2
Mission Impossible: Fallout
Ready Player One

Bubble
Bumblebee
The Favourite
Green Book
The Mule
Sicario: Day of the Soldado
Solo: A Star Wars Story
12 Strong
Vice
Widows


Visual Effects (12/19/18)

Tier 1
Avengers: Infinity War
Black Panther
First Man
Ready Player One

Tier 2
Christopher Robin
Mary Poppins Returns
Solo: A Star Wars Story

Tier 3
Ant-Man and the Wasp
Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom
Welcome to Marwen


Documentary Feature (12/19/18)

Tier 1
Free Solo
Minding the Gap
Three Identical Strangers
Won’t You Be My Neighbor?

Tier 2
Crime + Punishment
Dark Money
Hale County This Morning, This Evening
RBG
Shirkers
The Silence of Others

Tier 3
Charm City
Communion
The Distant Barking of Dogs
Of Fathers and Sons
On Her Shoulders


Foreign Feature (12/19/18)

Tier 1
Shoplifters (Japan)
Roma (Mexico)
Cold War (Poland)

Tier 2
Burning (South Korea)
Capernaum (Lebanon)

Tier 3
Ayka (Kazakhstan)
Birds of Passage (Colombia)
The Guilty (Denmark)
Never Look Away (Germany)

Advertisements