Oscar Tiers

This page has the tiers for our “Oscar Predictions.” This is a ranking-guide we use when making our predictions.

Last Update: 06/02/19


Picture (06/02/19)

Tier 1
The Irishman
Jojo Rabbit
Once Upon a Time in Hollywood

Tier 2
A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood
Harriet
1917
Untitled Noah Baumbach Project

Tier 3
Ad Astra
Fair and Balanced
The Farewell
Ford v. Ferrari
The Lighthouse
Little Women
Pain and Glory
Parasite

Tier 4
Downton Abbey Movie
Dry Run
The Goldfinch
A Hidden Life
Joker
Nomadland
The Personal History of David Copperfield
The Pope
The Report
Rocketman
Uncut Gems

Tier 5
The Aeronauts
Against All Enmies
Ammonite
Bad Education
Booksmart
Clemency
Dolemite is My Name
Downhill
Falling
First Cow
The Glorias: A Life on the Roads
The Good Liar
Just Mercy
The King
The Last Thing He Wanted
Portrait of a Lady on Fire
Queen & Slim
Sergio
Us
Wasp Network
Wendy

Bubble
Frankie
Gemini Man
The Last Black Man in San Francisco
The Laundromat
Waves


Director (06/03/19)

Tier 1
Martin Scorsese – The Irishman
Quentin Tarantino – Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
Taika Waititi – Jojo Rabbit

Tier 2
Pedro Almodovar – Pain and Glory
Marielle Heller – A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood
Kasi Lemmons – Harriet
Sam Mendes – 1917

Tier 3
Greta Gerwig – Little Women
Bong Joon-ho – Parasite
James Mangold – Ford v Ferrari
Lulu Wang – The Farewell
Chloe Zhao – Nomadland

Tier 4
Noah Baumbach – Untitled Noah Baumbach Project
Robert Eggers – The Lighthouse
James Gray – Ad Astra
Tom Hooper – Cats
Fernando Meirelles – The Pope

Tier 5
Scott Z. Burns – The Report
Tom Harper – The Aeronauts
Todd Haynes – Dry Run
Dee Rees – The Last Thing He Wanted
Safdie Brothers – Uncut Gems
Steven Soderbergh – The Laudromat

Bubble
Olivier Assayas – Wasp Network
Bill Condon – The Good Liar
Armando Iannuci – The Personal History of David Copperfield
Francis Lee – Ammonite
Melina Matsoukas – Queen & Slim
Jordan Peele – Us
Todd Phillips – Joker
Kelly Reichardt – First Cow
Celine Sciamma – Portrait of a Lady on Fire
Benh Zeitlin – Wendy


Lead Actor (03/19/19)

Tier 1
Robert de Niro – The Irishman
Leonardo DiCaprio – Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
Adam Driver – The Report

Tier 2
Michael B. Jordan – Just Mercy
Dev Patel – The Personal History of David Copperfield
Jonathan Pryce – The Pope
Matthew Rhys – A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood
Adam Sandler – Uncut Gems

Tier 3
Christian Bale – Ford v. Ferrari
Antonio Banderas – Pain and Glory
Timothee Chalamet – The King
Taron Egerton – Rocketman
Daniel Kaluuya – Queen & Slim
Edward Norton – Motherless Brooklyn
Joaquin Phoenix – Joker

Tier 4
Adam Driver – Untitled Noah Baumbach Project
Lucas Hedges – Waves
Brad Pitt – Ad Astra
Mark Ruffalo – Dry Run

Tier 5
Matt Damon – Ford v. Ferrari
Winston Duke – Us
Ansel Elgort – The Goldfinch
Jimmy Fails – The Last Black Man in San Francisco
Will Ferrell – Downhill
Henry Golding – Monsoon
Hugh Jackman – Bad Education
Ian McKellen – The Good Lie
Viggo Mortensen – Falling
Wagner Moura – Sergo
Liam Neeson – Norman People
Bill Nighy – Hope Gap
Himesh Patel – Yesterday
Eddie Redmayne – The Aeronauts
Sam Rockwell – The Best of Enemies
Mark Rylance – Waiting for the Barbarians
Christoph Waltz – Georgetown

Bubble
Javier Bardem – Molly
Daniel Craig – Knives Out
Roman Griffin Davis – Jojo Rabbit
Henry Golding – Last Christmas
Jack O’Connell – Against All Enemies
Edgar Ramirez – Wasp Network
Tim Roth – Luce


Lead Actress (03/19/19)

Tier 1
Cynthia Erivo – Harriet
Saoirse Ronan – Little Women
Charlize Theron – Fair and Balanced

Tier 2
Amy Adams – The Woman in the Window
Awkwafina – The Farewell
Anne Hathaway – The Last Thing He Wanted
Frances McDormand – Nomadland

Tier 3
Julia Louis-Dreyfus – Downhill
Lesley Manville – Normal People
Thomasin Harcourt McKenzie – Jojo Rabbit
Julianne Moore – Gloria Bell
Lupita Nyong’o – Us
Rosamund Pike – Radioactive
Natalie Portman – Lucy in the Sky
Kristen Stewart – Against All Enemies
Kate Winslet – Ammonite
Alfre Woodard – Clemency
Renee Zellweger – Judy

Tier 4
Annette Bening – Hope Gap
Juliette Binoche – The Truth
Cate Blanchett – Where’d You Go, Bernadette?
Penelope Cruz – Wasp Network
Catherine Deneuve – The Truth
Isabelle Huppert – Frankie
Felicity Jones – The Aeronauts
Helen Mirren – The Good Lie
Julianne Moore – The Glorias: A Life on the Roads
Emma Thompson – Late Night
Naomi Watts – Luce

Tier 5
Gemma Arterton – Summerland
Jessie Buckley – White Rose
Rose Byrne – Limited Partners
Taraji P. Henson – The Best of Enemies
Scarlett Johansson – Untitled Noah Baumbach Project
Keira Knightley – Misbehaviour
Jennifer Lopez – Hustlers
Melissa McCarthy – The Kitchen
Saoirse Ronan – Ammonite
Susan Sarandon – Blackbird
Jodie Turner-Smith- Queen & Slim
Constance Wu – Hustlers

Bubble
Emilia Clarke – Last Christmas
Elle Fanning – Molly
Gong Li – Saturday Fiction
Eva Green – Proxima
Alicia Vikander – The Glorias: A Life on the Roads


Supporting Actor (03/20/19)

Tier 1
Willem Dafoe – The Last Thing He Wanted
John Lithgow – Fair and Balanced
Al Pacino – The Irishman
Brad Pitt – Once Upon a Time in Hollwyood

Tier 2
Tom Hanks – A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood

Tier 3
Sterling K. Brown – Waves
Jamie Foxx – Just Mercy
Al Pacino – Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
Taika Waititi – Jojo Rabbit

Tier 4
Peter Capaldi – The Personal History of David Copperfield
Timothee Chalamet – The French Dispatch
Timothee Chalamet – Little Women
Anthony Hopkins – The Pope
Ian McKellen – Cats
Gary Oldman – The Woman in the Window
Joe Pesci – The Irishman
Lakeith Stanfield – Uncut Gems
Jeffrey Wright – The Goldfinch

Tier 5
Jamie Bell – Rocketman
Benicio Del Toro – The French Dispatch
Bruce Dern – Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
Jon Hamm – The Report
Kelvin Harrison Jr. – Luce
Ethan Hawke – The Truth
Hugh Laurie – The Personal History of David Copperfield
Anthony Mackie – Against All Enemies
Tim Robbins – Dry Run
Sam Rockwell – Jojo Rabbit

Bubble
Aneurin Banard – The Goldfinch
Antonio Banderas – The Laundromat
Matt Dillon – Fonzo
Jon Hamm – Lucy in the Sky
Richard Madden – Rocketman
Juan Minujin – The Pope
James Norton – Little Women
Josh O’Connor – Hope Gap
Pedro Pascal – Wasp Network
Robert Pattinson – The King
Chris Rock – Molly
Michae Shannon – Knives Out
David Strathairn – Nomadland


Supporting Actress (03/20/19)

Tier 1
Annette Bening – The Report
Margot Robbie – Once Upon a Time in Hollywood

Tier 2
Laura Dern – Little Women
Scarlett Johansson – Jojo Rabbit
Janelle Monae – Harriet
Meryl Streep – The Laundromat

Tier 3
Penelope Cruz – Pain and Glory
Anna Paquin – The Irishman
Octavia Spencer – Luce
Maggie Smith – Downton Abbey
Tilda Swinton – The Personal History of David Copperfield

Tier 4
Jamie Lee Curtis – Knives Out
Judi Dench – Cats
Dakota Fanning – Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
Anne Hathaway – Dry Run
Nicole Kidman – Fair and Balanced
Nicole Kidman – The Goldfinch
Brie Larson – Just Mercy
Frances McDormand – The French Dispatch
Florence Pugh – Little Women
Meryl Streep – Little Women
Kate Winslet – Blackbird

Tier 5
Ellen Burstyn – Lucy in the Sky
Linda Cardellini – Fonzo
Toni Collette – Knives Out
Bryce Dallas Howard – Rocketman
Lily James – Yesterday
Idina Menzel – Uncut Gems
Bette Midler – The Glorias: A Life on the Roads
Elisabeth Moss – Us
Sarah Paulson – The Goldfinch
Margot Robbie – Fair and Balanced
Alicia Vikander – The Glorias: A Life on the Roads
Emma Watson – Little Women
Michelle Yeoh – Last Christmas
Zhao -Shuzhun – The Farewell

Bubble
Annette Bening – Hope Gap
Penelop Cruz – Wasp Network
Tiffany Haddish – The Kitchen
Gugu Mbatha-Raw – Misbehaviour
Julianne Moore – The Woman in the Window
Emma Thompson – Last Chirstmas
Lorraine Toussaint – The Glorias: Life on the Roads
Mia Wasiwowska – Blackbird

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