Globe Tiers

This page has the tiers for our “Golden Globes Predictions.” This is a ranking-guide we use when making our predictions.

Last Update: 07/23/18


Motion Picture Drama (07/13/18)

Tier 1
First Man

Tier 2
Ad Astra
BlacKkKlansman
Black Panther
The Front Runner
Roma
Widows

Tier 3
Beautiful Boy
Bohemian Rhapsody
Boy Erased
Can You Ever Forgive Me?
Destroyer
If Beale Street Could Talk

Tier 4
Green Book
Hereditary
Mary Queen of Scots
The Old Man and the Gun
On the Basis of Sex
The Other Side of the Wind
Peterloo
A Quiet Place
Share

Tier 5
At Eternity’s Gate
Colette
The Hummingbird Project
JT Leroy
Judy
Leave No Trace
The Rider
Search
Suspiria
The Wife
Wildlife
The Women of Marwen

Bubble
The Boy Who Harnessed the Wind
Everybody Knows
The Girl in the Spider’s Web
Gloria
The Little Stranger
Maya
Mowgli
Outlaw King
The Sisters Brothers
Vita and Virginia
Wendy
What They Had
White Boy Rick
The White Crow
Woman Walks Ahead


Motion Picture Comedy or Musical (07/13/18)

Tier 1
Backseat
The Favourite
A Star is Born

Tier 2
Eighth Grade
Mary Poppins Returns
Mid ’90s
Sorry to Bother You

Tier 3
Bad Times at the El Royale
Christopher Robin
Crazy Rich Asians
Love, Simon
Mamma Mia! Here We Go Again
The Nutcracker and the Four Realms
Paddington 2
Tully

Tier 4
The Beach Bum
Don’t Worry He Won’t Get Far on Foot
The Man Who Killed Don Quixote
Night School
Private Life
The Sisters Brothers
Under the Silver Lake

Tier 5
Ant-Man and the Wasp
The Art of Self Defense
Blindspotting
Blockers
Deadpool 2
Game Night
The Happytime Murders
I Feel Pretty
Slice
Tag

Bubble
Book Club
Flower
Holmes and Watson
Humor Me
Johnny English 3
Life of the Party
Nasty Women
Overboard
The Party
Permission
The Spy Who Dumped Me
Uncle Drew
Valley Girl


Director (07/13/18)

Tier 1
Damien Chazelle – First Man

Tier 2
Bradley Cooper – A Star is Born
Yorgos Lanthimos – The Favourite
Spike Lee – BlacKkKlansman
Adam McKay – Backseat

Tier 3
Ryan Coogler – Black Panther
Alfonso Cuaron – Roma
James Gray – Ad Astra
Steve McQueen – Widows

Tier 4
Luca Guadagnino – Suspiria
Barry Jenkins – If Beale Street Could Talk
Karyn Kusama – Destroyer
Mike Leigh – Peterloo
David Lowery – The Old Man and the Gun
Jason Reitman – The Front Runner
Orson Welles – The Other Side of the Wind

Tier 5
Pippa Bianco – Share
Joel Edgerton – Boy Erased
Marielle Heller – Can You Ever Forgive Me?
John Krasinski – A Quiet Place
Julian Schnabel – At Eternity’s Gate

Bubble
Ari Aster – Hereditary
Jacques Audiard – The Sisters Brothers
Bo Burnham – Eighth Grade
Chiwetel Ejiofor – The Boy Who Harnessed the Wind
Asghar Farhadi – Everybody Knows
Felix Van Groeningen – Beautiful Boy
Jonah Hill – Mid ’90s
Mimi Leder – On the Basis of Sex
Richard Linklater – Where’d You Go, Bernadette?
Rob Marshall – Mary Poppins Returns
Jason Rourke – Mary Queen of Scots
Bryan Singer, Dexter Fletcher – Bohemian Rhapsody
Wash Westmoreland – Colette
Chloe Zhao – The Rider


Lead Actor in a Motion Picture – Drama (07/13/18)

Tier 1
Ryan Gosling – First Man
Rami Malek – Bohemian Rhapsody

Tier 2
Hugh Jackman – The Front Runner

Tier 3
Steve Carell – Beautiful Boy
Lucas Hedges – Boy Erased
Robert Redford – The Old Man and the Gun

Tier 4
Willem Dafoe – At Eternity’s Gate
Ethan Hawke – First Reformed
Viggo Mortensen – Green Book
Brad Pitt – Ad Astra
John David Washington – BlacKkKlansman

Tier 5
Steve Carell – The Women of Marwen
Ben Foster – Leave No Trace
Woody Harrelson – The Highwaymen
Garrett Hedlund – Burden

Bubble
Chadwick Boseman – Black Panther
Timothee Chalamet – A Rainy Day in New York
John Huston – The Other Side of the Wind
Oscar Isaac – Life Itself
Robert Pattinson – High Life
Joaquin Phoenix – You Were Never Really Here
Chris Pine – Outlaw King


Lead Actress in a Motion Picture – Drama (07/23/18)

Tier 1
Viola Davis – Widows

Tier 2
Toni Collette – Hereditary
Felicity Jones – On the Basis of Sex
Nicole Kidman – Destroyer
Melissa McCarthy – Can You Ever Forgive Me?

Tier 3
Glenn Close – The Wife
Kiki Layne – If Beale Street Could Talk
Saoirse Ronan – Mary Queen of Scots

Tier 4
Emily Blunt – A Quiet Place
Isabelle Huppert – The Widow
Poorna Jagannathan – Share
Keira Knightley – Colette
Carey Mulligan – Wildlife

Tier 5
Jessica Chastain – Woman Walks Ahead
Elizabeth Debicki – Vita and Virginia
Dakota Johnson – Suspiria
Julianne Moore – Gloria
Kristen Stewart – JT Leroy
Rachel Weisz – Disobedience
Renee Zellweger – Judy

Bubble
Rhianne Barreto – Share
Gugu Mbatha-Raw – Fast Color
Hilary Swank – What They Had
Mary Elizabeth Winstead – All About Nina


Lead Actor in a Motion Picture – Comedy or Musical (07/13/18)

Tier 1
Christian Bale – Backseat
Bradley Cooper – A Star is Born

Tier 2
Andrew Garfield – Under the Silver Lake
Lin Manuel-Miranda – Mary Poppins Returns
Matthew McConaughey – The Beach Bum
John C. Reilly – The Sisters Brothers

Tier 3
Adam Driver – The Man Who Killed Don Quixote
Paul Giamatti – Private Life
Joaquin Phoenix – Don’t Worry, He Won’t Get Far on Foot
Nick Robinson – Live, Simon

Tier 4
Will Ferrell – Holmes and Watson
John C. Reilly – Holmes and Watson
Lakeith Stanfield – Sorry to Bother You

Bubble
Jason Bateman – Game Night
Daveed Diggs – Blindspotting
Jesse Eisenberg – The Art of Self Defense
Kevin Hart – Night School
Ewan McGregor – Christopher Robin
Ryan Reynolds – Deadpool 2


Lead Actress in a Motion Picture – Comedy or Musical (07/23/18)

Tier 1
Amy Adams – Backseat
Lady Gaga – A Star is Born

Tier 2
Emily Blunt – Mary Poppins Returns
Olivia Colman – The Favourite

Tier 3
Elsie Fisher – Eighth Grade
Charlize Theron – Tully
Constance Wu – Crazy Rich Asians

Tier 4
Mackenzie Foy – The Nutcracker and the Four Realms
Lily James – Mamma Mia! Here We Go Again

Bubble
Jane Fonda – Book Club
Diane Keaton – Book Club
Mila Kunis – The Spy Who Dumped Me
Jennifer Lopez – Second Act
Leslie Mann – Blockers
Rachel McAdams – Game Night
Melissa McCarthy – Life of the Party
Helen Mirren – The Leisure Seeker
Amy Schumer – I Feel Pretty
Mary Steenburgen – Book Club


Supporting Actor (07/13/18)

Tier 1
Timothee Chalamet – Beautiful Boy

Tier 2
Adam Driver – BlacKkKlansman
Sam Elliott – A Star is Born
Richard E. Grant – Can You Ever Forgive Me?
Sam Rockwell – Backseat

Tier 3
Kyle Chandler – First Man
Armie Hammer – On the Basis of Sex
Michael B. Jordan – Black Panther
Daniel Kaluuya – Widows
J.K. Simmons – The Front Runner

Tier 4
Mahershala Ali – Green Book
Russell Crowe – Boy Erased
Joel Edgerton – Boy Erased
Lucas Hedges – Mid ’90s
Stephen James – If Beale Street Could Talk
Sebastian Stan – Destroyer
Alex Wolff – Hereditary

Tier 5
Casey Affleck – The Old Man and the Gun
Jeff Bridges – Bad Times at the El Royale
Steve Carell – Backseat
Jason Clarke – First Man
Dick Van Dyke – Mary Poppins Returns
Jake Gyllenhaal – Wildlife
Matthew McConaughey – White Boy Rick
David Tennant – Mary Queen of Scots
Justin Theroux – On the Basis of Sex
John Turturro – Gloria

Bubble
Riz Ahmed – The Sisters Brothers
Peter Bogdanovich – The Other Side of the Wind
Josh Brolin – Avengers: Infinity War
Dave Chapelle – A Star is Born
Donald Glover – Solo: A Star Wars Story
Jake Gyllenhaal – The Sisters Brothers
Rutger Hauer – The Sisters Brothers
Oscar Isaac – At Eternity’s Gate
Jude Law – A Rainy Day in New York
Alexander Skarsgard – The Hummingbird Project
Sylvester Stallone – Creed II
Donald Sutherland – Ad Astra
Aaron Taylor-Johnson – Outlaw King


Supporting Actress (07/23/18)

Tier 1
Olivia Colman – The Favourite
Claire Foy – The First Man

Tier 2
Nicole Kidman – Boy Erased
Katherine Waterston – Mid ’90s

Tier 3
Marina de Tavira – Roma
Regina King – If Beale Street Could Talk
Margot Robbie – Mary Queen of Scots
Tilda Swinton – Suspiria
Rachel Weisz – The Favourite

Tier 4
Kathy Bates – On the Basis of Sex
Cynthia Erivo – Widows
Vera Farmiga – The Front Runner
Julia Roberts – Ben is Back
Sissy Spacek – The Old Man and the Gun
Meryl Streep – Mary Poppins Returns
Emma Stone – The Favourite
Michelle Yeoh – Crazy Rich Asians

Tier 5
Gemma Arterton – Vita and Virginia
Kathy Bates – The Highwaymen
Elizabeth Debicki – Widows
Ann Dowd – Hereditary
Jennifer Jason Leigh – White Boy Rick
Tatiana Maslany – Destroyer
Rachel McAdams – Disobedience
Ruth Negga – Ad Astra
Alison Pill – Backseat
Amy Ryan – Beautiful Boy
Maura Tierney – Beautiful Boy
Jacki Weaver – Widows

Bubble
Blythe Danner – What They Had
Mackenzie Davis – Tully
Laura Dern – JT Leroy
Leslie Mann – The Women of Marwen
Mercedes McCambridge – The Other Side of the Wind
Natalie Portman – The Death and Life of John F. Donovan
Michelle Rodriguez – Widows


Screenplay (07/13/18)

Tier 1
Backseat
The Favourite
First Man

Tier 2
BlacKkKlansman
Mid ’90s
Widows

Tier 3
Ad Astra
Beautiful Boy
Black Panther
Boy Erased
Can You Ever Forgive Me?
Destroyer
If Beale Street Could Talk
Roma
A Star is Born

Tier 4
First Reformed
The Front Runner
Hereditary
Isle of Dogs
The Old Man and the Gun
On the Basis of Sex
Peterloo
Sorry to Bother You

Tier 5
Bohemian Rhapsody
Crazy Rich Asians
Eighth Grade
Love, Simon
Mary Queen of Scots
A Quiet Place
Suspiria
Tully
Wildlife

Bubble
Annihilation
At Eternity’s Gate
Disobedience
Green Book
Hearts Beat Loud
Leave No Trace
Share
Shoplifters
Under the Silver Lake
What They Had
White Boy Rick

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