Updated Oscar Predictions – June 2018

All Oscar Predictions are updated!

We are starting to get some clarity, but there are still many films that need to be seen or, hell, even finished.

Keep here for most up-to-date predictions.

For now, here’s what sounds good to us:

Our ranking system is based on our Oscar Tiers page, which is based on the rankings of “Award blogs” throughout the web.

Picture (06/12/18)
Backseat
Widows
Ad Astra
BlacKkKlansman
A Star is Born
The Favourite
If Beale Street Could Talk
Roma
First Man
Boy Erased

Alternates
The Old Man and the Gun
Boy Erased
Mid ’90s
Black Panther
Hereditary
Peterloo
Can You Ever Forgive Me?
Beautiful Boy
Destroyer

Dark Horses
On the Basis of Sex
Mary Queen of Scots
At Eternity’s Gate
Bohemian Rhapsody
Suspiria
Eighth Grade


Director (06/12/18)
Steve McQueen – Widows
Damien Chazelle – First Man
James Gray – Ad Astra
Adam McKay – Backseat
Spike Lee – BlacKkKlansman

Alternates
Bradley Cooper – A Star is Born
Alfonso Cuaron – Roma
Barry Jenkins – If Beale Street Could Talk
Ryan Coogler – Black Panther
Joel Edgerton – Boy Erased
Marielle Heller – Can You Ever Forgive Me?

Dark Horses
David Lowry – The Old Man and the Gun
Karyn Kusama – Destroyer
Jason Reitman – The Front Runner
Ari Aster – Hereditary
Pippa Bianco – Share
Julian Schnabel – At Eternity’s Gate
Orson Welles – The Other Side of the Wind


Lead Actor (06/12/18)
Christian Bale – Backseat
Bradley Cooper – A Star is Born
Rami Malek – Bohemian Rhapsody
Ryan Gosling – First Man
Robert Redford – The Old Man and the Gun

Alternates
Lucas Hedges – Boy Erased
Steve Carell – Beautiful Boy
Willem Dafoe – At Eternity’s Gate
Hugh Jackman – The Front Runner
Timothee Chalamet – A Rainy Day in New York
Stephen James – If Beale Street Could Talk

Dark Horses
Chadwick Boseman – Black Panther
Steve Carell – The Women of Marwen
Oscar Isaac – Life Itself
John David Washington – BlacKkKlansman
Ethan Hawke – First Reformed
John Huston – The Other Side of the Wind


Lead Actress (06/12/18)
Viola Davis – Widows
Melissa McCarthy – Can You Ever Forgive Me?
Lady Gaga – A Star is Born
Saoirse Ronan – Mary Queen of Scots
Felicity Jones – On the Basis of Sex

Alternates
Toni Collette – Hereditary
Nicole Kidman – Destroyer
Cate Blanchett – Where’d You Go, Bernadette?
Rachel Weisz – The Favourite
Renee Zellweger – Judy
Glenn Close – The Wife

Dark Horses
Emily Blunt – Mary Poppins Returns
Kiki Layne – If Beale Street Could Talk
Kristen Stewart – JT Leroy
Dakota Johnson – Suspiria
Isabelle Huppert – The Widow
Julianne Moore – Gloria
Keira Knightley – Colette


Supporting Actor (06/12/18)
Timothee Chalamet – Beautiful Boy
Sam Elliott – A Star is Born
Kyle Chandler – First Man
Adam Driver – BlacKkKlansman
Daniel Kaluuya – Widows

Alternates
Richard E. Grant – Can You Ever Forgive Me?
Stephen James – If Beale Street Could Talk
Michael B. Jordan – Black Panther
Armie Hammer – On the Basis of Sex
Sam Rockwell – Backseat
Russell Crowe – Boy Erased
Tommy Lee Jones – Ad Astra
Steve Carell – Backseat

Dark Horses
Joel Edgerton – Boy Erased
Mahershala Ali – Green Book
Jeff Bridges – Bad Times at the El Royale
Billy Crudup – Where’d You Go, Bernadette?
Peter Bogdanovich – The Other Side of the Wind
Alex Wolff – Hereditary
Oscar Isaac – At Eternity’s Gate
David Tennant – Mary Queen of Scots


Supporting Actress (06/12/18)
Amy Adams – Backseat
Claire Foy – First Man
Olivia Colman – The Favourite
Margot Robbie – Mary Queen of Scots
Regina King – If Beale Street Could Talk

Alternates
Nicole Kidman – Boy Erased
Emma Stone – The Favourite
Katherine Waterston – Mid ’90s
Tilda Swinton – Suspiria
Emily Blunt – A Quiet Place
Meryl Streep – Mary Poppins Returns

Dark Horses
Vera Farmiga – The Front Runner
Laura Dern – JT Leroy
Sissy Spacek – The Old Man and the Gun
Poorna Jagannathan – Share
Amy Ryan – Beautiful Boy
Ruth Negga – Ad Astra
Julia Roberts – Ben is Back
Kathy Bates – On the Basis of Sex
Marina de Tavira – Roma
Tatiana Maslany – Destroyer


Writing – Original Screenplay (06/12/18)
The Favourite
Backseat
Mid ’90s
Roma
Ad Astra

Alternates
First Reformed
Hereditary
Destroyer
On the Basis of Sex
Eighth Grade
At Eternity’s Gate

Dark Horses
Isle of Dogs
A Quiet Place
Peterloo
Bohemian Rhapsody
The Other Side of the Wind
The Women of Marwen
A Rainy Day in New York


Writing – Adapted Screenplay (06/12/18)
First Man
BlacKkKlansman
Widows
Can You Ever Forgive Me?
A Star is Born

Alternates
If Beale Street Could Talk
Boy Erased
Mary Queen of Scots
The Front Runner

Dark Horses
The Old Man and the Gun
Beautiful Boy
Where’d You Go, Bernadette?
JT Leroy
Paddington 2
Love, Simon
Black Panther
The Sisters Brothers


Animated Feature Film (06/12/18)
Incredibles 2
Isle of Dogs
Ralph Breaks the Internet: Wreck-It Ralph 2
Animal Crackers
Dr. Seuss’s The Grinch

Alternates
Spider-Man: Into the Spider-verse
Smallfoot
Early Man
Mirai of the Future

Dark Horses
Duck Duck Goose
Teen Titans GO! to the Movies
The Big Bad Fox and Other Tales
Birdboy: The Forgotten Children
Peter Rabbit
Hotel Transylvania 3: Summer Vacation


Cinematography (06/12/18)
First Man
Ad Astra
A Star is Born
Widows
The Favourite

Alternates
Mary Queen of Scots
If Beale Street Could Talk
Peterloo
Mowgli
Backseat
The Sisters Brothers

Dark Horses
The Nutcracker and the Four Realms
Hereditary
Suspiria
Bad Times at the El Royale
Black Panther
The Old Man and the Gun
Alita: Battle Angel
A Quiet Place
Destroyer
Solo: A Star Wars Story


Costume Design (06/12/18)
Mary Queen of Scots
Mary Poppins Returns
The Favourite
Black Panther
Colette

Alternates
The Nutcracker and the Four Realms
BlacKkKlansman
Bohemian Rhapsody
Fantastic Beasts: The Crimes of Grindelwald
Peterloo
Judy

Dark Horses
At Eternity’s Gate
First Man
On the Basis of Sex
Robin Hood
Bad Times at the El Royale
Vita and Virginia
The Sisters Brothers
A Star is Born
On Chesil Beach


Film Editing (06/13/18)
First Man
Backseat
Widows
BlacKkKlansman
Ad Astra

Alternates
If Beale Street Could Talk
Black Panther
Mary Queen of Scots
A Star is Born
The Old Man and the Gun

Dark Horses
Bohemian Rhapsody
Roma
The Favourite
Bad Times at the El Royale
A Quiet Place
Hereditary
Suspiria
Destroyer
Outlaw King
The Sisters Brothers


Makeup & Hairstyling (06/13/18)
Mary Queen of Scots
Black Panther
Bohemian Rhapsody

Alternates
The Nutcracker and the Four Realms
The Favourite
A Wrinkle in Time
Fantastic Beasts: The Crimes of Grindelwald
Mary Poppins Returns

Dark Horses
Solo: A Star Wars Story
A Star is Born
Judy
Peterloo
On Chesil Beach
At Eternity’s Gate
First Man
Colette
Vita and Virginia


Original Score (06/13/18)
First Man
Mary Queen of Scots
Backseat
BlacKkKlansman
The Nutcracker and the Four Realms

Alternates
Suspiria
If Beale Street Could Talk
The Sisters Brothers
Isle of Dogs
Black Panther

Dark Horses
The Women of Marwen
A Wrinkle in Time
Boy Erased
The Old Man and the Gun
Solo: A Star Wars Story
Mowgli
Mary Poppins Returns
Mary Magdalene
Peterloo


Original Song
TBD


Production Design (06/13/18)
Black Panther
The Nutcracker and the Four Realms
Mary Queen of Scots
The Favourite
First Man

Alternates
Mary Poppins Returns
The Sisters Brothers
Peterloo
Fantastic Beasts: The Crimes of Grindelwald
Bohemian Rhapsody

Dark Horses
Aquaman
Isle of Dogs
Mowgli
Colette
Solo: A Star Wars Story
Ready Player One
Alpha
Backseat
Bad Times at the El Royale
At Eternity’s Gate
On the Basis of Sex


Sound Editing (06/13/18)
First Man
Avengers: Infinity War
Ad Astra
Bumblebee
Ready Player One

Alternates
A Star is Born
The Nutcracker and the Four Realms
Black Panther
Solo: A Star Wars Story
Mary Poppins Returns
Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom

Dark Horses
Peterloo
Widows
Mowgli
Suspiria
Alita: Battle Angel
Alpha
Mortal Engines
Sicario: Day of the Soldado


Sound Mixing (06/13/18)
First Man
A Star is Born
Widows
Avengers: Infinity War
Black Panther

Alternates
Ad Astra
Ready Player One
Bohemian Rhapsody
Solo: A Star Wars Story
Mary Poppins Returns
The Nutcracker and the Four Realms

Dark Horses
The Sisters Brothers
Peterloo
Bumblebee
Mowgli
Backseat
Suspiria
Alita: Battle Angel
Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom
Alpha


Visual Effects (06/13/18)
First Man
Avengers: Infinity War
Ready Player One
Black Panther
Mowgli

Alternates
Bumblebee
Solo: A Star Wars Story
Ad Astra
Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom
Ant-Man and the Wasp
Alpha
A Wrinkle in Time

Dark Horses
Fantastic Beasts: The Crimes of Grindelwald
Annihilation
Rampage
The Nutcracker and the Four Realms
Alita: Battle Angel
Hereditary
Deadpool 2


Documentary Feature (06/13/18)
TBD


Foreign Feature (06/13/18)
TBD

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