Oscars: Updated Predictions – June 2017

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Last Updated: 06/20/17


Picture
Detroit
Call Me by Your Name
The Florida Project
Darkest Hour
The Papers
Mother!
Dunkirk
Last Flag Flying
The Current War
Downsizing

Alternates
The Greatest Showman
Wonderstruck
3 Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
Coco
Blade Runner 2049
Get Out
The Killing of a Sacred Deer

Dark Horses
Mudbound
Phantom Thread
Inner City
Suburbicon
The Disaster Artist
You Were Never Really Here
The Beguiled
Battle of the Sexes


Director
Kathryn Bigelow – Detroit
Luca Guadagnino – Call Me by Your Name
Christopher Nolan – Dunkirk
Darren Aronofsky – Mother!
Sean Baker – The Florida Project

Alternates
Steven Spielberg – The Papers
Joe Wright – Darkest Hour
Denis Villeneuve – Blade Runner 2049
Todd Haynes – Wonderstruck
Richard Linklater – Last Flag Flying
Alexander Payne – Downsizing

Dark Horses
Michael Gracey – The Greatest Showman
Dan Gilroy – Inner City
Martin McDonagh – 3 Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
George Clooney – Suburbicon
Paul Thomas Anderson – Phantom Thread
Guillermo Del Toro – The Shape of Water
Yorgos Lanthimos – The Killing of a Sacred Deer
Alfonso Gomez-Rejon – The Current War
Garth Davis – Mary Magdalene


Lead Actor
Gary Oldman – Darkest Hour
Timothee Chalamet – Call Me by Your Name
Hugh Jackman – The Greatest Showman
Daniel Day-Lewis – Phantom Thread
Tom Hanks – The Papers

Alternates
Bryan Cranston – Last Flag Flying
Denzel Washington – Inner City
Matt Damon – Downsizing
Joaquin Phoenix – You Were Never Really Here

Dark Horses
Benedict Cumberbatch – The Current War
Chadwick Boseman – Marshall
Matt Damon – Suburbicon
Andrew Garfield – Breathe
Robert Pattinson – Good Times
James Franco – The Disaster Artist
Colin Firth – The Mercy
Adam Sandler – The Meyerowitz Stories
Steve Carell – Battle of the Sexes
Colin Farrell – The Killing of a Sacred Deer
Domhnall Gleeson – Goodbye Christopher Robin


Lead Actress
Meryl Streep – The Papers
Frances McDormand – 3 Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
Jennifer Lawrence – Mother!
Kate Winslet – Wonder Wheel
Jessica Chastain – Molly’s Game

Alternates
Claire Foy – Breathe
Daniela Vega – A Fantastic Woman
Judi Dench – Victoria and Abdul
Rooney Mara – Mary Magdalene
Emma Stone – Battle of the Sexes
Julianne Moore – Suburbicon

Dark Horses
Salma Hayek – Beatriz at Dinner
Margot Robbie – I, Tonya
Brie Larson – The Glass Castle
Saoirse Ronan – On Chesil Beach
Annette Bening – Film Stars Don’t Die in Liverpool
Tilda Swinton – Okja
Helen Mirren – The Leisure Seeker
Glenn Close – The Wife
Elizabeth Olsen – Wind River


Supporting Actor
Michael Stuhlbarg – Call Me by Your Name
Willem Dafoe – The Florida Project
John Boyega – Detroit
Javier Bardem – Mother!
Ben Mendelsohn – Darkest Hour

Alternates
Colin Farrell – Inner City
Steve Buscemi – Lean on Pete
Michael Shannon – The Current War
Idris Elba – Molly’s Game
Laurence Fishburne – Last Flag Flying
Jason Mitchell – Mudbound

Dark Horses
Will Poulter – Detroit
Sam Rockwell – 3 Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
Armie Hammer – Call Me by Your Name
Mark Rylance – Dunkirk
Sterling K. Brown – Marshall
Ed Harris – Mother!
Christoph Waltz – Downsizing
Anthony Mackie – Detroit
Zac Efron – The Greatest Showman


Supporting Actress
Michelle Pfeiffer – Mother!
Melissa Leo – Novitiate
Michelle Williams – The Greatest Showman
Kirsten Dunst – The Beguiled
Kristin Scott Thomas – Darkest Hour

Alternates
Hong Chau – Downsizing
Bria Vinaite – The Florida Project
Nicole Kidman – The Killing of a Sacred Deer
Allison Janney – I, Tonya
Mary J. Blige – Mudbound
Katherine Waterston – The Current War

Dark Horses
Nicole Kidman – The Beguiled
Juno Temple – Wonder Wheel
Margot Robbie – Goodbye Christopher Robin
Naomi Watts – The Glass Castle
Millicent Simmonds – Wonderstruck
Octavia Spencer – The Shape of Water
Julianne Moore – Wonderstruck
Ekaterina Samsonov – You Were Never Really Here
Carrie Coon – The Papers
Lesley Manville – Phantom Thread


Animated Feature
Coco
Mary and the Witch’s Flower
Captain Underpants: The First Epic Movie
The Lego Batman Movie
Ferdinand

Alternates
Cars 3
The Breadwinner
The Lego Ninjago Movie
The Girl Without Hands
My Entire High School Sinking Into the Sea
Despicable Me 3
The Emoji Movie

Dark Horses
The Star
Ancien and the Magic Tablet
Paddington 2
My Little Pony: The Movie
Animal Crackers
The Boss Baby
Rock Dog


Cinematography
Blade Runner 2049 – Roger Deakins
Darkest Hour – Bruno Delbonnel
Dunkirk – Hoyte Van Hoytema
Wonderstruck – Edward Lachman
Detroit – Barry Ackroyd

Alternates
Mother! – Matthew Libatique
The Greatest Showman – Seamus McGarvey
Call Me by Your Name – Sayombhu Mukdeeprom
The Florida Project – Alexis Zabe
Breathe – Robert Richardson
The Shape of Water – Dan Laustsen
The Papers (TBD)
The Lost City of Z – Darius Khondji

Dark Horses
Mary Magdalene – Greig Fraser
Inner City – Robert Elswit
Suburbicon – Robert Elswit
Star Wars: The Last Jedi – Steve Yedlin
The Current War – Chung-hoon Chung
Phantom Thread – TBD
The Beguiled – Philippe Le Sourd


Costume Design
The Greatest Showman
Darkest Hour
The Shape of Water
Beauty and the Beast
Murder on the Orient Express

Alternates
The Current War
Breathe
Wonder Woman
The Lost City of Z
Valerian and the City of 1000 Planets
Phantom Thread
Blade Runner 2049

Dark Horses
Dunkirk
Star Wars: The Last Jedi
Wonderstruck
King Arthur: Legend of the Sword
Mary Magdalene
Suburbicon
Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales
The Beguiled


Documentary Feature
City of Ghosts
Visages, Villages
Chasing Coral
An Inconvenient Sequel: Truth to Power
Trophy

Alternates
Dawson City: Frozen Time
Last Men in Aleppo
I Called Him Morgan
Winnie
Step
Let It Fall: Los Angeles 1982-1992

Dark Horses
I Am Another You
Nobody Speak: Trials of a Free Press
Icarus
Night School
I Am Heath Ledger
Rumble: The Indians Who Rocked the World


Film Editing
Detroit
Dunkirk
Blade Runner 2049
The Papers
Mother!

Alternates
The Greatest Showman
Star Wars: The Last Jedi
Darkest Hour
The Florida Project
Call Me by Your Name
Inner City
The Current War

Dark Horses
Baby Driver
Suburbicon
Molly’s Game
The Shape of Water
Downsizing
Get Out
The Death of Stalin
Good Time


Foreign Feature (Coming Soon)


Makeup and Hairstyling
Darkest Hour
The Greatest Showman
Valerian and the City of 1000 Planets

Alternates
Murder on the Orient Express
Star Wars: The Last Jedi
The Shape of Water
Blade Runner 2049
Inner City
The Current War

Dark Horses
Beauty and the Beast
The Death of Stalin
Mary Magdalene
The Disaster Artist
Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales
Okja
Victoria and Abdul
Suburbicon
Wonderstruck
Phantom Thread
Wonder Woman


Music (Original Score)
Wonderstruck – Carter Burwell
Coco – John Powell
Detroit – James Newton Howard
Mother! – Johann Johannsson
Dunkirk – Hans Zimmer

Alternates
Star Wars: The Last Jedi – John Williams
The Greatest Showman – John Debney, Benj Pasek, Justin Paul
Call Me by Your Name – Sufjan Stevens
The Papers – TBD
Blade Runner 2049 – Johann Johannsson
Darkest Hour – Dario Marianelli
Suburbicon – Alexandre Desplat

Dark Horses
The Shape of Water – Alexandre Desplat
3 Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri – Carter Burwell
Murder on the Orient Express – Patrick Doyle
Phantom Thread – Johnny Greenwood
Valerian and the City of 1000 Planets – Alexandre Desplat
The Current War – TBD
Inner City – James Newton Howard
Baby Driver – Steven Price
Mary Magdalene – TBD


Music (Original Song) (Coming Soon)


Production Design
The Greatest Showman
Blade Runner 2049
Star Wars: The Last Jedi
Darkest Hour
The Shape of Water

Alternates
Valerian and the City of 1000 Planets
Dunkirk
Wonderstruck
Beauty and the Beast
The Current War
Wonder Woman
Murder on the Orient Express

Dark Horses
The Papers
The Lost City of Z
Suburbicon
Phantom Thread
Downsizing
Mother!
Okja
Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2


Sound Editing
Dunkirk
Star Wars: The Last Jedi
Blade Runner 2049
Detroit
Valerian and the City of 1000 Planets

Alternates
Wonder Woman
Transformers: The Last Knight
The Greatest Showman
The Shape of Water
Baby Driver
Kong: Skull Island

Dark Horses
War for the Planet of the Apes
Darkest Hour
Coco
Logan Lucky
Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2
Alien: Covenant
Mother!
Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales
The Fate of the Furious


Sound Mixing
Dunkirk
Blade Runner 2049
Detroit
Star Wars: The Last Jedi
The Greatest Showman

Alternates
Wonder Woman
Baby Driver
Valerian and the City of 1000 Planets
Logan Lucky
Darkest Hour
Transformers: The Last Knight

Dark Horses
The Fate of the Furious
War for the Planet of the Apes
The Shape of Water
Mother!
Alien: Covenant
Spider-Man: Homecoming
Inner City
The Snowman
The Dark Tower


Visual Effects
Star Wars: The Last Jedi
Blade Runner 2049
War for the Planet of the Apes
Wonder Woman
The Shape of Water

Alternates
Valerian and the City of 1000 Planets
Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2
Dunkirk
Spider-Man: Homecoming
Transformers: The Last Knight
Kong: Skull Island

Dark Horses
The Dark Tower
Ghost in the Shell
Logan
Thor: Ragnarok
Alien: Covenant
Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales
Beauty and the Beast
Downsizing
King Arthur: The Legend of the Sword


Writing (Adapted Screenplay)
Call Me by Your Name
Last Flag Flying
The Beguiled
Wonderstruck
The Death of Stalin

Alternates
Molly’s Game
Mudbound
Blade Runner 2049
You Were Never Really Here
The Disaster Artist
The Glass Castle

Dark Horses
Lean on Pete
Victoria and Abdul
The Lost City of Z
Star Wars: The Last Jedi
The Snowman
The Leisure Seeker
On Chesil Beach
Disobedience
Logan


Writing (Original Screenplay)
The Papers
Detroit
The Florida Project
Darkest Hour
Get Out

Alternates
3 Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
Downsizing
Coco
Mother!
The Current War
Dunkirk
Suburbicon

Dark Horses
The Killing of a Sacred Deer
The Meyerowitz Stories
Phantom Thread
Wonder Wheel
A Ghost Story
Inner City
Battle of the Sexes
Breathe

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