Updated Oscar Predictions – Late September

363E871700000578-0-image-m-70_1468433753297Updated Oscar Predictions – Late September

We’ve learned a lot from the Toronto, Venice, and Telluride film festivals and we’re still learning things! But we couldn’t wait to update our predictions so here they are.

Keep checking our Oscar page for frequent updated predictions:

Picture
La La Land
Moonlight
Manchester by the Sea
Nocturnal Animals
Jackie
Arrival
Billy Lynn’s Long Halftime Walk
Fences
Hell or High Water
Silence

Alternates
Hidden Figures
Lion
Live by Night
Loving
Sully
20th Century Women
The Birth of a Nation
Miss Sloane

Dark Horses
Passengers
The 13th
Gold
Allied
Florence Foster Jenkins
Love & Friendship
Hacksaw Ridge
maxresdefaultDirector
Damien Chazelle – La La Land
Tom Ford – Nocturnal Animals
Pablo Laraín – Jackie
Barry Jenkins – Moonlight
Martin Scorsese – Silence

Alternates
Ang Lee – Billy Lynn’s Long Halftime Walk
Denzel Washington – Fences
Ben Affleck – Live by Night
Denis Villeneuve – Arrival
Jeff Nichols – Loving
Kenneth Lonergan – Manchester by the Sea
David MacKenzie – Hell or High Water
Morten Tyldum – Passengers
Mike Mills – 20th Century Women

Dark Horses
Ava DuVernay – The 13th
Nate Parker – The Birth of a Nation
Theodore Melfi – Hidden Figures
Clint Eastwood – Sully
Terry George – The Promise
Paul Verhoeven – Elle
manchester-by-the-sea-movie-casey-affleck-pic-2Lead Actor
Casey Affleck – Manchester by the Sea
Denzel Washington – Fences
Ryan Gosling – La La Land
Jake Gyllenhaal – Nocturnal Animals
Tom Hanks – Sully

Alternates
Matthew McConaughey – Gold
Joel Edgerton – Loving
Adam Driver – Paterson
Andrew Garfield – Silence
Joe Alwyn – Billy Lynn’s Long Halftime Walk
Dev Patel – Lion
Michael Keaton – The Founder

Dark Horses
Nate Parker – The Birth of a Nation
Peter Simonischek – Toni Erdmann
Chris Pine – Hell or High Water
Oscar Isaac – The Promise
Will Smith – Collateral Beauty
David Oyelowo – A United Kingdom
Miles Teller – Bleed for This
Andrew Garfield – Hacksaw Ridge

emma-stone-sings-lala-landLead Actress
Emma Stone – La La Land
Natalie Portman – Jackie
Viola Davis – Fences
Ruth Negga – Loving
Amy Adams – Nocturnal Animals

Alternates
Anette Bening – 20th Century Women
Taraji P. Henson – Hidden Figures
Amy Adams – Arrival
Meryl Streep – Florence Foster Jenkins
Jessica Chastain – Miss Sloane
Isabelle Huppert – Elle
Rebecca Hall – Christine

Dark Horses
Sofia Braga – Aquarius
Jennifer Lawrence – Passengers
Kate Beckinsale – Love & Friendship
Emily Blunt – The Girl on the Train
Marion Cotillard – Allied

Rosamund Pike – A United Kingdom
Rachel Weisz – Denial
Sasha Lane – American Honey

nocturnal-animals-2016-michael-shannon-aaron-taylor-johnson-jake-gyllenhaal1Supporting Actor
Michael Shannon – Nocturnal Animals
Mahershala Ali – Moonlight
Jeff Bridges – Hell or High Water
Lucas Hedges – Manchester by the Sea
Steve Martin – Billy Lynn’s Long Halftime Walk

Alternates
Liam Neeson – Silence
Hugh Grant – Florence Foster Jenkins
Stephen Henderson – Fences
Alan Rickman – Eye in the Sky
John Goodman – 10 Cloverfield Lane
Armie Hammer – The Birth of a Nation
Peter Sarsgaard – Jackie

Dark Horses
Timothy Spall – Denial
Aaron Taylor-Johnson – Nocturnal Animals
Warren Beatty – Rules Don’t Apply
Ralph Fiennes – A Bigger Splash
Trevante Rhodes – Moonlight
Adam Driver – Silence
Christian Bale – The Promise
Ben Foster – Hell or High Water

michelle-williams-manchester-by-the-sea-600x333Supporting Actress
Michelle Williams – Manchester by the Sea
Naomie Harris – Moonlight
Kristen Stewart – Billy Lynn’s Long Halftime Walk
Helen Mirren – Eye in the Sky
Octavia Spencer – Hidden Figures

Alternates
Greta Gerwig – Jackie
Felicity Jones – A Monster Calls
Greta Gerwig – 20th Century Women
Bryce Dallas Howard – Gold
Aja Naomi King – The Birth of a Nation
Nicole Kidman – Lion
Laura Linney – Nocturnal Animals

Dark Horses
Kristen Stewart – Certain Women
Molly Shannon – Other People
Margo Martindale – The Hollars
Rachel Weisz – The Light Between Oceans
Zoe Saldana – Live by Night
Sienna Miller – Live by Night
Jennifer Aniston – The Yellow Birds
maxresdefault-1Animated Feature Film
Kubo and the Two Strings
Finding Dory
Zootopia
The Red Turtle
April and the Extraordinary World

Alternates
Moana
Sing
My Life as a Zucchini
The Little Prince
The Secret Life of Pets

Dark Horses
Sausage Party
Kung Fu Panda 3
Trolls
Storks
The Angry Birds

363E871700000578-0-image-m-70_1468433753297
Cinematography
La La Land – Linus Sandgren
Billy Lynn’s Long Halftime Walk – John Toll
Live by Night – Robert Richardson
Nocturnal Animals – Seamus McGarvey
Silence – Rodrigo Prieto

Alternates
The Happiest Day in the Life of Olli Mäki – J.P. Passi
Arrival – Bradford Young
Jackie – Stéphane Fontaine
Fences – Charlotte Bruus Christensen
The Neon Demon – Natasha Braier
Moonlight – James Laxton
Passengers – Rodrigo Prieto

Dark Horses
Voyage of Time: Life’s Journey – Paul Atkins
The Promise – Javier Aguirresarobe
The Birth of a Nation – Elliot Davis
The Jungle Book – Bill Pope
Rogue One: A Star Wars Story – Greg Fraser
Hail, Caesar! – Roger Deakins
Midnight Special – David Wingo
Hacksaw Ridge – Rupert Gregson-Williams

LaLaLandCostume Design
La La Land
Silence
Hidden Figures
The Promise
Love & Friendship

Alternates
Fences
Live by Night
Alice Through the Looking Glass
The Dressmaker
Jackie
The Death of King Louis XIV
Café Society
Florence Foster Jenkins
Rules Don’t Apply

Dark Horses
The Witch
Loving
Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them
The Birth of a Nation
The Founder
20th Century Women
r91170_3_576x324_16-9Documentary Feature
OJ: Made in America
Gleason
Weiner
The 13th
Newtown

Alternates
De Palma
Amanda Knox
Tower
Audrie & Daisy
Harry Benson: Shoot First
Abacus: Small Enough to Jail
Off the Rails
Everything is Copy
Risk

Dark Horses
Tickled
By Sidney Lumet
Presenting Princess Shaw
Equal Means Equal
Lo and Behold, Reveries of the Connected World
Life, Animated
static-playbillFilm Editing
La La Land
Billy Lynn’s Long Halftime Walk
Silence
Moonlight
Arrival

Alternates
Sully
Nocturnal Animals
Hell or High Water
Live by Night
Fences
Jackie
Hacksaw Ridge
The Birth of a Nation

Dark Horses
Loving
The Girl on the Train
Midnight Special
Rogue One: A Star Wars Story
Passengers
Lion
The Accountant

toni-erdmann-3-rcm0x1920uForeign Feature
Toni Erdmann
The Happiest Day in the Life of Olli Mäki
Elle
The Salesman
From Afar

Alternates
Clash
Aquarius
Tonio
Sieranevada
The Student

Dark Horses
The Flower of Aleppo
Negaski: Memories of my Son
Stefan Zweig: Farewell to Europe
Between Sea and Land
The Age of Shadows
Sand Storm
Tanna
Junction 48
The Lure
Julieta
silence-andrew-garfield-entertainment-weeklyMakeup and Hairstyling
Silence
Hidden Figures
Jackie

Alternates
Deadpool
The BFG
Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them
Loving
Fences
The Birth of a Nation
Live by Night
The Witch

Dark Horses
Rules Don’t Apply
Star Trek Beyond
Love & Friendship
Florence Foster Jenkins
The Founder
La La Land
X-Men Apocalypse
Café Society
maxresdefault-2Music (Original Score)
Arrival – Jóhann Jóhannsson
Jackie – Mica Levi
Nocturnal Animals – Abel Korzeniowski
La La Land – Justin Hurwitz
Billy Lynn’s Long Halftime Walk – Jeff Danna, Mychael Danna

Alternates
Hidden Figures – Hans Zimmer
Loving – David Wingo
The BFG – John Williams
Silence – TBD
Rogue One: A Star Wars Story – Michael Giacchino
Passengers – Thomas Newman
Live by Night – Harry Gregson-Williams
Allied – Alan Silverstri

Dark Horses
Midnight Special – David Wingo
The Neon Demon – Cliff Martinez
Moonlight – Nicholas Britell
The Light Between Oceans – Alexandre Desplat
Moana – Opetaia Foa’i, Mark Mancina, Lin-Manuel Miranda
Voyage of Time: Life’s Journey – Ennio Morricone
The Founder – Carter Burwell

363E871700000578-0-image-m-70_1468433753297Music (Original Song)
La La Land – “City of Stars,” Ryan Gosling
La La Land – “Audition,” Emma Stone
Hidden Figures – “Victory,” Pharrell Williams
The Promise – “Untitled,” Serj Tankian
Sing Street – “Go Now,” Adam Levine

Alternates
Alice Through the Looking Glass – “Just Like Fire,” Pink
Audrie & Daisy – “Flicker,” Tori Amos
Moana – “We Know the Way,” Lin Manuel Miranda
Hidden Figures – “Running,” Pharrell
Trolls – “Can’t Stop the Feeling,” Justin Timberlake
Queen of Katwe – “Back to Life,” Alicia Keys
Gleason – “Hoping and Healing,” Mike McCready

Dark Horses
Jim: The James Foley Story – “The Empty Chair,” Sting, J. Ralph
Snowden – “The Veil,” Peter Gabriel
Zootopia – “Try Everything,” Shakira
The Angry Birds – “Friends,” Blake Shelton
Sing Street – “Drive it Like you Stole it”
Desierto – “Land of All,” Woodkid
PopStar: Never Stop Stopping – “I’m So Humble,” Adam Levine
Sausage Party – “The Great Beyond,” Alan Menken

landscape-1468420673-la-la-land-4Production Design
La La Land
Live by Night
Billy Lynn’s Long Halftime Walk
Rogue One: A Star Wars Story
The Promise

Alternates
Hidden Figures
Fences
Passengers
Loving
The Jungle Book
Arrival
The BFG
Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them

Dark Horses
Alice Through the Looking Glass
Jackie
Rules Don’t Apply
Café Society
Hacksaw Ridge
Love & Friendship
Florence Foster Jenkinsla-la-land-trailer-13jul16-06
Sound Editing
La La Land
The Jungle Book
Rogue One: A Star Wars Story
Billy Lynn’s Long Halftime Walk
Arrival

Alternates
Sully
Passengers
Hacksaw Ridge
Silence
The BFG
Star Trek Beyond
Live by Night
Patriots Day
Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them

Dark Horses
Midnight Special
Nocturnal Animals
Jackie
The Girl on the Train
Suicide Squad
The Birth of a Nation
The Accountant
maxresdefaultSound Mixing
La La Land
Billy Lynn’s Long Halftime Walk
Rogue One: A Star Wars Story
The Jungle Book
Sully

Alternates
Arrival
Silence
Hacksaw Ridge
Live by Night
Passengers
Patriots Day
Midnight Special

Dark Horses
Allied
Jackie
The Birth of a Nation
The BFG
Moonlight
Fences
Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them
Hail, Caesar!
MV5BMTkyNTUxMDczMF5BMl5BanBnXkFtZTgwMTUzNDA4NjE@._V1_Visual Effects
The Jungle Book
Rogue One: A Star Wars Story
Passengers
Midnight Special
Arrival

Alternates
Voyage of Time: Life’s Journey
The BFG
Doctor Strange
Captain America: Civil War
Star Trek Beyond
Billy Lynn’s Long Halftime Walk
Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them

Dark Horses
Batman v. Superman: Dawn of Justice
Suicide Squad
The Accountant
La La Land
Assassin’s Creed
Warcraft
X-Men Apocalypse
Ghostbusters
static.playbillWriting (Adapted Screenplay)
Fences – August Wilson
Nocturnal Animals – Tom Ford
Arrival – Eric Heisserer
Silence – Jay Cocks
Billy Lynn’s Long Halftime Walk – Jean-Christophe Castelli

Alternates
Hidden Figures – Allison Schroeder
Love & Friendship – Whit Stillman
Live by Night – Ben Affleck
Sully – Todd Komernicki
Lion – Luke Davies
Indignation – James Schamus

Dark Horses
Hacksaw Ridge – Andrew Knight, Robert Schenkkan
Snowden – Kieran Fitzgerald, Oliver Stone
The Girl on the Train – Erin Cressida Wilson
The Light Between Oceans – Derek Cianfrance
Denial – David Hare
Patriots Day – Eric Johnson, Paul Tamasy
The Jungle Book – Justin Marks
Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them – J.K. Rowling
Una – David Harrower
363E871700000578-0-image-m-70_1468433753297Writing (Original Screenplay)
La La Land – Damien Chazelle
Manchester by the Sea – Kenneth Lonergan
Moonlight – Barry Jenkins
Jackie – Noah Oppenheim
Hell or High Water – Taylor Sheridan

Alternates
Loving – Jeff Nichols
20th Century Women – Mike Mills
Captain Fantastic – Matt Ross
Everybody Wants Some!! – Richard Linklater
The Lobster – Yorgos Lanthimos, Efthymis Filippou
Miss Sloane – Jonathan Perera

Dark Horses
The Birth of a Nation – Nate Parker, Jean McGianni Celestin
Hail, Caesar! – Joel Coen, Ethan Coen
Midnight Special – Jeff Nichols
Christine – Craig Shilowich
Café Society – Woody Allen
Toni Erdmann – Maren Ade
Collateral Beauty – Alla Loeb
Passengers – Jon Spaihts
Southside with You – Richard Tanne

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