lala-landUpdated Oscar Predictions – July 2016

We’re getting closer! There are still so many potentially great films that we haven’t even seen a still image of yet. TIFF and Venice are just around the corner though and we plan on promptly updating these right after.

Keep it here for the most updated predictions

Here’s what we have for now:

 

billylynngalleryPicture
Billy Lynn’s Long Halftime Walk
The Birth of a Nation
La La Land
Fences
Loving
Silence
Arrival
Live by Night
The Founder
Manchester by the Sea

Alternates
Moonlight
Passengers
Bleed for This
Rules Don’t Apply
Allied
Christine
Certain Women
Collateral Beauty
Lion
Wilson
Nocturnal Animals

Dark Horses
Toni Erdmann
Patriots Day
Sully
Miss Sloane

Imaged50Director
Ang Lee – Billy Lynn’s Long Halftime Walk
Nate Parker – The Birth of a Nation
Martin Scorsese – Silence
Damien Chazelle – La La Land
Jeff Nichols – Loving

Alternates
Ben Affleck – Live by Night
Denzel Washington – Fences
Denis Villneuve – Arrival
Kenneth Lonergan – Manchester by the Sea
Ben Younger – Bleed for This
Kelly Reichardt – Certain Women
Morten Tyldum – Passengers

Dark Horses
Robert Zemeckis – Allied
Barry Jenkins – Moonlight
Tom Ford – Nocturnal Animals
Tate Taylor – The Girl on the Train
James Marsh – The Mercy
Colin Trevorrow – The Book of Henry
Antonio Campos – Christine
Clint Eastwood – Sully

static.playbillLead Actor
Denzel Washington – Fences
Nate Parker – The Birth of a Nation
Casey Affleck – Manchester by the Sea
Woody Harrelson – Wilson
Joel Edgerton – Loving

Alternates
Michael Keaton – The Founder
Andrew Garfield – Silence
Miles Teller – Bleed for This
Trevante Rhodes – Moonlight
Tom Hanks – Sully
Jake Gyllenhaal – Nocturnal Animals
Joe Alwyn – Billy Lynn’s Long Halftime Walk
Ryan Gosling – La La Land

Dark Horses
Peter Simonischek – Toni Erdmann
Bryan Cranston – Wakefield
Colin Firth – The Mercy
Brad Pitt – War Machine
Dev Patel – Lion
Logan Lerman – Indignation
Will Smith – Collateral Beauty

1466022807_loving_gallery9_joeledgerton_ruthnegga_jeffnichols-1860x1046Lead Actress
Ruth Negga – Loving
Viola Davis – Fences
Emma Stone – La La Land
Jessica Chastain – Miss Sloane
Amy Adams – Arrival

Alternates
Rebecca Hall – Christine
Jennifer Lawrence – Passengers
Meryl Streep – Florence Foster Jenkins
Kate Beckinsale – Love & Friendship
Amy Adams – Nocturnal Animals
Rachel Weisz – Denial
Emily Blunt – The Girl on the Train

Dark Horses
Lupita Nyong’o – Queen of Katwe
Annette Bening – 20th Century Women
Tika Sumpter – Southside with You
Emma Thompson – Alone in Berlin
Emma Stone – Battle of the Sexes
Alicia Vikander – The Light Between Oceans
Lily Collins – Rules Don’t Apply
Taraji P. Henson – Hidden Figures

file_604324_steve-martinSupporting Actor
Steve Martin – Billy Lynn’s Long Halftime Walk
Liam Neeson – Silence
Aaron Eckhart – Bleed for This
Armie Hammer – The Birth of a Nation
Warren Beatty – Rules Don’t Apply

Alternates
Jovan Adepo – Fences
Mahershala Ali – Moonlight
André Holland – Moonlight
Jeremy Renner – Arrival
Nick Offerman – The Founder
Alden Ehrenreich – Hail, Caesar!
Adam Driver – Silence

Dark Horses
Jacob Tremblay – The Book of Henry
Edward Norton – Collateral Beauty
Hugh Grant – Florence Foster Jenkins
Lucas Hedges – Manchester by the Sea
Tracy Letts – Indignation
Daniel Brühl – Alone in Berlin
Aaron Eckhart – Sully
J.K. Simmons – La La Land
26-birth-of-a-nation-5.w1200.h630
Supporting Actress
Aja Naomi King – The Birth of a Nation
Kristen Stewart – Billy Lynn’s Long Halftime Walk
Naomie Harris – Moonlight
Michelle Williams – Manchester by the Sea
Rachel Weisz – The Lobster

Alternates
Nicole Kidman – Lion
Kristen Stewart – Certain Women
Laura Dern – Wilson
Octavia Spencer – Hidden Figures
Kate Winslet – Collateral Beauty
Sienna Miller – Live by Night

Dark Horses
Rebecca Ferguson – The Girl on the Train
Michelle Williams – Certain Women
Elle Fanning – 20th Century Women
Jennifer Aniston – The Yellow Birds
Jennifer Jason Leigh – LBJ
Margot Robbie – Suicide Squad
Molly Shannon – Other People
Gugu Mbatha-Raw – Miss Sloane
Rachel Weisz – The Mercy

finding-dory-xlargeAnimated Feature Film
Finding Dory
The Red Turtle
Zootopia
Moana
April and the Extraordinary World

Alternates
Kubo and the Two STrings
Sausage Party
Batman: The Killing Joke
Sing
The Secret Life of Pets

Dark Horses
Trolls
Storks
My Life As a Courgette
Phantom Boy
Kung Fu Panda 3
The Angry Birds
billylynn
Cinematography
Billy Lynn’s Long Halftime Walk – John Toll
Arrival – Bradford Young
Silence – Rodrigo Prieto
Live by Night – Robert Richardson
Passengers – Rodrigo Prieto

Alternates
The Jungle Book – Bill Pope
La La Land – Linus Sandgren
The Birth of a Nation – Elliot Davis
Fences – Charlotte Bruus Christensen
Loving – Adam Stone
The Light Between Oceans – Adam Arkapaw
Lion – Greg Fraser
The Lost City of Z – Darius Khondji
Allied – Don Burgess
Collateral Beauty – Maryse Alberti
The Girl on the Train – Charlotte Bruus Christensen
Weightless – Emmanuel Lubezki

Dark Horses
Rogue One: A Star Wars Story – Greg Fraser
Nocturnal Animals – Seamus McGarvey
American Pastoral – Martin Ruhe

640_Affleck_Ben_GRIMSBMF_EXC_102815_51891464Costume Design
Live by Night
Silence
Rogue One: A Star Wars Story
La La Land
Love & Friendship

Alternates
The Birth of a Nation
Allied
The Promise
Billy Lynn’s Long Halftime Walk
Moonlight
The Lost City of Z
Rules Don’t Apply
The Light Between Oceans
Florence Foster Jenkins

Dark Horses
Fences
Café Society
Hail, Caesar!
Warcraft
20th Century Women
The Huntsman: Winter’s War

arrival-2016-movie-amy-adamsFilm Editing
Arrival
Silence
Billy Lynn’s Long Halftime Walk
The Birth of a Nation
Live by Night

Alternates
La La Land
Loving
Rogue One: A Star Wars Story
The Girl on the Train
Sully
Lion
Nocturnal Animals
Passengers

Dark Horses
Deepwater Horizon
Bleed for This
The Accountant
Collateral Beauty
Patriots Day
Moonlight
Voyage of Time
silence-andrew-garfield-entertainment-weeklyMakeup and Hairstyling
Silence
Star Trek Beyond
Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them

Alternates
Rogue One: A Star Wars Story
Billy Lynn’s Long Halftime Walk
The Birth of a Nation
Florence Foster Jenkins
Miss Peregrine’s Home for Peculiar Children
The Huntsman: Winter’s War
Bleed for This

Dark Horses
Rules Don’t Apply
Suicide Squad
Warcraft
The Promise
Moonlight
Sully
Loving
Café Society
Live by Night
Fences
story-of-your-life_0
Music (Original Score)

Arrival – Jóhann Jóhannsson
Billy Lynn’s Long Halftime Walk – Jeff Danna, Mychael Danna
Loving – David Wingo
Voyage of Time – Ennio Morricone
The Light Between Oceans – Alexandre Desplat

Alternates
The Founder – Carter Burwell
Allied – Alan Silverstri
Live by Night – Harry Gregson-Williams
The Girl on the Train – Danny Elfman
Rogue One: A Star Wars Story – Alexandre Desplat
The BFG – John Williams
The Birth of a Nation – Henry Jackman

Dark Horses
Midnight Special – David Wingo
The Mercy – Jóhann Jóhannsson
Florence Foster Jenkins – Alexandre Desplat
Manchester by the Sea – Lesley Barber
Hail, Caesar! – Carter Burwell
The Jungle Book – John Debney
The Magnificent Seven – James Horner
Moonlight – Nicholas Britell

Films without composers not considered.

billylynngalleryProduction Design
Billy Lynn’s Long Halftime Walk
Silence
La La Land
Live by Night
Rogue One: A Star Wars Story

Alternates
The Jungle Book
Passengers
The Birth of a Nation
Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them
The Lost City of Z
Allied
Arrival
Moonlight

Dark Horses
Love & Friendship
Weightless
The Light Between Oceans
Doctor Strange
Rules Don’t Apply
Star Trek Beyond
Fences
la-et-hc-jungle-book-jon-favreau-20150817-001Sound Editing
The Jungle Book
Rogue One: A Star Wars Story
La La Land
Billy Lynn’s Long Halftime Walk
Silence

Alternates
Arrival
Passengers
Star Trek Beyond
Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them
Deepwater Horizon
The Girl on the Train
Suicide Squad
Sully

Dark Horses
Midnight Special
Live by Night
Patriots Day
Bleed for This
The Birth of a Nation
The Accountant
The Mercy

Sound Mixing
The Jungle Book
Billy Lynn’s Long Halftime Walk
La La Land
Rogue One: A Star Wars Story
The Birth of a Nation

Alternates
Arrival
Live by Night
Passengers
Silence
Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them
The Girl on the Train
Star Trek Beyond

Dark Horses
Bleed for This
The Accountant
Voyage of Time
Weightless
Hail, Caesar!
Deepwater Horizon
Patriots Day
Loving
MV5BMTkyNTUxMDczMF5BMl5BanBnXkFtZTgwMTUzNDA4NjE@._V1_Visual Effects
The Jungle Book
Rogue One: A Star Wars Story
Passengers
Midnight Special
Voyage of Time

Alternates
Star Trek Beyond
Captain America: Civil War
Doctor Strange
Arrival
Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them
Billy Lynn’s Long Halftime Walk
Suicide Squad

Dark Horses
The Accountant
The BFG
Ghostbusters
Warcraft
Batman v. Superman: Dawn of Justice
Alice Through the Looking Glass
Deepwater Horizon
Assassin’s Creed
static.playbill
Writing (Adapted Screenplay)

Fences – August Wilson
Silence – Jay Cocks
Billy Lynn’s Long Halftime Walk – Jean-Christophe Castelli
Arrival – Eric Heisserer
Live by Night – Ben Affleck

Alternates
Love & Friendship – Whit Stillman
Wilson – Daniel Clowes
Nocturnal Animals – Tom Ford
Lion – Luke Davies
Certain Women – Kelly Reichardt
Sully – Todd Komernicki
Finding Dory – Andrew Stanton, Victoria Strouse
The Girl on the Train – Erin Cressida Wilson
The Light Between Oceans – Derek Cianfrance

The Lost City of Z – James Gray
Indignation – James Schamus

Dark Horses
The Lost City of Z – James Gray
Indignation – James Schamus
Denial – David Hare
Patriots Day – Eric Johnson, Paul Tamasy
Elle – David Birke
Hidden Figures – Allison Schroeder
dt.common.streams.StreamServer

Writing (Original Screenplay)

The Birth of a Nation – Nate Parker
Loving – Jeff Nichols
Manchester by the Sea – Kenneth Lonergan
La La Land – Damien Chazelle
Miss Sloane – Jonathan Perera

Alternates
Moonlight – Barry Jenkins
The Lobster – Yorgos Lanthimos, Efthymis Filippou
Christine – Craig Shilowich
Hail, Caesar! – Joel Coen, Ethan Coen
Bleed for This – Pippa Bianco, Ben Younger
Little Men – Ira Sachs, Mauricio Zacharias
Rules Don’t Apply – Warren Beatty
Southside with You – Richard Tanne

Dark Horses
20th Century Women – Mike Mills
Everybody Wants Some!! – Richard Linklater
Collateral Beauty – Alla Loeb
Toni Erdmann – Maren Ade
Passengers – Jon Spaihts
The Founder – Robert D. Siegel

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One thought on “Updated Oscar Predictions – July 2016

  1. Once again… One Nomination for Fantastic beasts. Have you seen the last trailer, the visual effects look amazing, production design and cinematograpahy looks really good and music with it is amazing!

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