Palme d’Or: I, Daniel Blake
Grand Prix: Xavier Dolan, It’s Only the End of the World
Best Director: Graduation (Cristian Mungiu) and Personal Shopper (Olivier Assayas)
Best Actress: Jaclyn Jose, Ma Rosa
Best Actor: Shahab Hosseini, The Salesman
What will translate to Oscar?
We learned little from this years Cannes Film Festival, but you can make an assured assumption that the titles, actors, and directors listed above will not translate to Oscar.
Of all of them we will keep an eye on “I, Daniel Blake” and how it’s distributed, and may factor in Jose and Hosseini as dark horses as our Actor/Actress predictions narrow.
Of all the films we should see some of the following boosts:
Focus Features nabbed Jeff Nichols’ real-life drama about an interracial couple before the festival even started. Immediately we had our eyes on the film.
After its premiere it holds a 93% on Rotten Tomatoes with a 7.3/10 average. That and the limited November release date is enough for us to keep watching this film as a major Oscar contender especially for Ruth Negga in actress.
The Nice Guys
Shane Black’s film wasn’t in competition, and it’s also already been released wide. It holds a 90% on Rotten Tomatoes. Will this translate to Oscar? Probably not, if anything Screenplay may be a possibility, but we will definitely keep our eye on the film, Gosling, and Crowe for Golden Globe comedy categories.
This film was one of the best reviewed films to come out of Cannes. Many were predicting it for the Palme d’Or. It holds a 92 on MetaCritic so expect it as a strong possibility for Germany’s submission into the Oscar foreign film category.
Speaking of well-reviewed films Jim Jarmusch’s “Paterson” currently holds a 96% on Rotten Tomatoes with a 9.2/10 average. People weren’t sure if the comedy would make a dent when the awards came out, but Adam Driver received a lot of accolades for his performance. If the film has strong distributions expect Driver to be a strong contender at the Globes, and maybe even make Oscar conversation.
I, Daniel Blake
It’s unfortunate that sometimes a Dramatic Audience award from Sundance holds more weight than the Palme d’Or. Still we can’t count out this year’s winner for Oscar. Going forward a lot is dependent on distribution for Ken Loach’s film.
There was some good word for Isabelle Huppert in Paul Verhoeven’s “Elle.” Unfortunately no recorded reviews yet, so we can’t really say anything else will come of this film at this time.
The Red Turtle
If Disney doesn’t swoop down and steal the Animated Feature Oscar again, keep an eye out for “La Routue Rouge.” An animated, dialogue-less film, that received huge accolades out of Cannes.
What won’t translate to Oscar?
The Steven Spielberg film did fine with reviews. Holding a current 74% on Rotten Tomatoes. However, modest reviews for a big-budgetted film that is being release in the summer, won’t bode well for the film at the end of the year. At most I see John Williams being in the conversation, like he always is, but ultimately not getting in.
Jodie Foster’s thriller was also released wide to lukewarm, mixed reviews. It looks like, at best, Foster’s recent film is a simple popcorn thriller.
The Last Face
Sean Penn’s film is still appearing in a few areas of our non-updated predictions right now. Those will be taken down. The film was pretty much panned at Cannes.
The Neon Demon
Nicolas Winding-Refn is polarizing. So as expected his film was met with the occasional boo after curtains close accompanied with an occasional rave in the review books. Sounds like a film you should check out, but polarizing almost never translates to Oscar.
This Woody Allen film received moderately high reviews. Holding a 73% from Rotten Tomatoes. The reviews aren’t bad at all, but with a summer release date I’m leaning more toward “Irrational Man” than “Midnight in Paris.”
*Yes, I know “Midnight in Paris” was released early in the year, but it also had glowing reviews to coast on.