Oscars: Post TIFF Oscar Predictions

2B8A1F6D00000578-0-True_story_The_movie_focuses_on_the_real_life_investigation_by_B-m-42_1440118129495Oscars: Post TIFF Oscar Predictions

The festivals aren’t quite over yet. The New York Film Festival will kick off with Robert Zemeckis’ “The Walk” on the 25th. Meanwhile, in this comforting interlude, we decided to go ahead and give our predictions a much needed makeover after these past revealing weeks.

What have we learned?

  • “Spotlight” is the real deal
  • Kaufman’s “Anomalisa” will rival “Inside Out.”
  • “The Danish Girl” was good, but with some lukewarm response.
  • “Beasts of No Nation”  and “Steve Jobs” are strong contenders, but are not likely are winners.
  • “The Hateful Eight” test screened to strong reactions, has an intermission “Gone with the Wind” style.
  • “The Martian” sounds like a strong crowd-pleaser, should nab some tech attention.
  • “Sicario” is a strong sleeper pick, as is “Son of Saul.”
  • “Room,” after a strong couple of showings, will likely earn Brie Larson an actress nomination.
  • Cate Blanchett will rival Cate Blanchett after two strong performances in both “Carol” and “Truth”
  • “Suffragette,” “Freeheld,” “Our Brand is Crisis,” and “I Saw the Light.” all fall off quite a bit after low to mixed responses.

Click “Continue Reading” to see all of our updated predictions, and stay tuned to our Oscar page throughout the New York Film Festival.
maxresdefaultBest Picture
Steve Jobs
Carol
The Revenant
Joy
Beasts of No Nation
Spotlight
The Hateful Eight
The Danish Girl
Inside Out
Mad Max: Fury Road

Alternates
Bridge of Spies
Sicario
Truth
The Walk
Son of Saul
In the Heart of the Sea

Dark Horses
Star Wars VII: The Force Awakens
Anomalisa
Miles Ahead
Youth
Brooklyn
Room
Concussion
The Big Short
By the Sea

the_revenant_trailer_alexa_65_footageBest Director
Alejandro González Iñárritu – The Revenant
Todd Haynes – Carol
David O. Russell – Joy
Cary Fukunaga – Beasts of No Nation
Quentin Tarantino – The Hateful Eight

Alternates
Tom McCarthy – Spotlight
Danny Boyle – Steve Jobs
Steven Spielberg – Bridge of Spies
Robert Zemeckis – The Walk
László Nemes – Son of Saul
Ron Howard – In the Heart of the Sea

Dark Horses
George Miller – Mad Max: Fury Road
Tom Hooper – The Danish Girl
Denis Villeneuve – Sicario
Paolo Sorrentino – Youth
James Vanderbilt – Truth
J.J. Abrams – Star Wars VII: The Force Awakens
Peter Landesman – Concussion
John Crowley – Brooklyn
Lenny Abrahamson – Room

3048137-inline-i-1-michael-fassbender-dons-the-turtleneckActor in a Leading Role
Michael Fassbender – Steve Jobs
Eddie Redmayne – The Danish Girl
Leonardo DiCaprio – The Revenant
Johnny Depp – Black Mass
Tom Hanks – Bridge of Spies

Alternates
Joseph Gordon-Levitt – The Walk
Mark Ruffalo – Spotlight
Bryan Cranston – Trumbo
Michael Caine – Youth
Tom Hiddleston – I Saw the Light
Geza Rohrig – Son of Saul
Abraham Attah – Beasts of No Nation

Dark Horses
Don Cheadle – Miles Ahead
Will Smith – Concussion
Chris Hemsworth – In the Heart of the Sea
Brad Pitt – By the Sea
Steve Carell – The Big Short
Bradley Cooper – Burnt
Paul Dano – Love & Mercy
Chiwetel Ejiofor – The Secret in Their Eyes
Sir Ian McKellen – Mr. Holmes

carolActress in a Leading Role
Cate Blanchett – Carol
Jennifer Lawrence – Joy
Carey Mulligan – Suffragette
Brie Larson – Room
Saorise Ronan – Brooklyn

Alternates
Cate Blanchett – Truth
Angelina Jolie – By the Sea
Lily Tomlin – Grandma
Charlotte Rampling – 45 Years
Maggie Smith – The Lady in the Van
Emily Blunt – Sicario

Dark Horses
Sandra Bullock – Our Brand is Crisis
Julianne Moore – Freeheld
Charlize Theron – Mad Max: Fury Road
Daisy Ridley – Star Wars VII: The Force Awakens
Juliette Binoche – Clouds of Sils Maria
Susan Sarandon – The Meddler
Toni Collette – Miss You Already
Nicole Kidman – The Secret in Their Eyes
Drew Barrymore – Miss You Already

beastofnonation-largeActor in a Supporting Role
Idris Elba – Beasts of No Nation
Tom Hardy – The Revenant
Samuel L. Jackson – The Hateful Eight
Michael Keaton – Spotlight
Mark Rylance – Bridge of Spies

Alternates
Kurt Russell – The Hateful Eight
Robert de Niro – Joy
Robert Redford – Truth
Benicio Del Toro – Sicario
Seth Rogen – Steve Jobs
Christian Bale – The Big Short
Harvey Keitel – Youth

Dark Horses
Mark Hamill – Star Wars VII: The Force Awakens
Emory Cohen – Brooklyn
Ralph Fiennes – Spectre
Bradley Cooper – Joy
Bruce Dern – The Hateful Eight
Joel Edgerton – Black Mass
Brendan Gleeson – In the Heart of the Sea
Jason Segel – The End of the Tour

mara_blanchett_carol-618x400Actress in a Supporting Role
Rooney Mara – Carol
Alicia Vikander – The Danish Girl
Kate Winslet – Steve Jobs
Jennifer Jason Leigh – The Hateful Eight
Diane Ladd – Joy

Alternates
Elizabeth Olsen – I Saw the Light
Rachel McAdams – Spotlight
Joan Allen – Room
Jane Fonda – Youth
Julie Walters – Brooklyn
Amy Ryan – Bridge of Spies

Dark Horses
Gugu Mbatha-Raw – Concussion
Helena Bonham Carter – Suffragette
Rachel Weisz – Youth
Helen Mirren – Trumbo
Julia Roberts – The Secret in Their Eyes
Alicia Vikander – Ex Machina
Julianne Moore – Maggie’s Plan
Marion Cotillard – MacBeth
Marisa Tomei – The Big Short
Melissa Leo – The Big Short

maxresdefaultWriting – Adapted Screenplay
Steve Jobs – Aaron Sorkin
Carol – Phyllis Nagy
The Revenant – Alejandro González Iñárritu, Mark L. Smith
Room – Emma Donoghue
Truth – James Vanderbilt

Alternates
Beasts of No Nation – Cary Fukunaga
Brooklyn – Nick Hornby
The Walk – Christopher Browne, Robert Zemeckis
The Big Short – Adam McKay, Charles Randolph
The Danish Girl – Lucinda Coxon
Concussion – Peter Landesman
Trumbo – John McNamara

Dark Horses
The Lady in the Van – Alan Bennett
In the Heart of the Sea – Charles Leavitt
Black Mass – Jez Butterworth, Mark Mallouk
45 Years – Andrew Haigh
The Martian – Drew Goddard
Mad Max: Fury Road – Brendan McCarth, George Miller, Nick Lathouris
The End of the Tour – Donald Margulies

spotlight-trailer-29jul15-05Writing – Original Screenplay
Spotlight – Tom McCarthy, Josh Singer
The Hateful Eight – Quentin Tarantino
Joy – Annie Mumolo, David O. Russell
Inside Out – Josh Cooley, Pete Docter, Meg LeFauve
Bridge of Spies – Matt Charman, Joel Coen, Ethan Coen

Alternates
Anomalisa – Charlie Kaufman
Son of Saul – László Nemes, Clara Royer
The Good Dinosaur – Enrico Casarosa, Bob Peterson
Sicario – Taylor Sheridan
Youth – Paolo Sorrentino
Grandma – Paul Weitz

Dark Horses
By the Sea – Angelina Jolie
Burnt – Steven Knight
Ex Machina – Alex Garland
The Lobster – Efthymis Filippou, Yorgos Lanthimos
Miles Ahead – Stephen Baigelman, Don Cheadle
Suffragette – Abi Morgan
Love & Mercy – Michael A. Lerner, Oren Moverman
Mistress America – Noah Baumbach, Greta Gerwig
Dope – Rick Famuyiwa
Brooklyn lawyer James Donovan (Tom Hanks) meets with his client Rudolf Abel (Mark Rylance), a Soviet agent arrested in the U.S. in DreamWorks Pictures/Fox 2000 PIctures' dramatic thriller BRIDGE OF SPIES, directed by Steven Spielberg.Production Design
Bridge of Spies
Star Wars Episode VII: The Force Awakens
Cinderella
The Hateful Eight
The Revenant

Alternates
Carol
Pan
The Danish Girl
The Martian
Brooklyn
Joy

Dark Horses
In the Heart of the Sea
Mad Max: Fury Road
Ex Machina
Youth
Steve Jobs
MacBeth
Suffragette
The Assassin
Mr. Holmes
revenant-movie-dicaprio-directorCinematography
The Revenant – Emmanuel Lubezki
Bridge of Spies – Janusz Kaminski
Sicario – Roger Deakins
The Hateful Eight – Robert Richardson
Carol – Edward Lachmann

Alternates
The Danish Girl – Danny Cohen
Son of Saul – Mátyás Erdély
The Walk – Dariusz Wolski
Brooklyn – Yves Bélanger
In the Heart of the Sea – Anthony Dod Mantle
Cinderella – Haris Zambarloukos
Mad Max: Fury Road – John Seale
The Martian – Dariusz Wolski

Dark Horses
Steve Jobs – Alwin Kuchler
Star Wars VII: The Force Awakens – Daniel Mindel
Beasts of No Nation – Cary Fukunaga
Joy – Linus Sandgren
Spectre – Hoyte van Hoytema
Ex Machina – Rob Hardy
By the Sea – Christian Berger
jobs-3Editing
Steve Jobs
Spotlight
The Revenant
Mad Max: Fury Road
Sicario

Alternates
Joy
Star Wars VII: The Force Awakens
The Hateful Eight
Bridge of Spies
Truth
Beasts of No Nation

Dark Horses
Son of Saul
The Big Short
In the Heart of the Sea
Carol
The Danish Girl
Concussion
The Martian
Spectre
Black Mass
Ex Machina

the-hateful-eightMusic – Original Score

The Hateful Eight – Ennio Morricone
Bridge of Spies – Thomas Newman
Star Wars VII: The Force Awakens – John Williams
Carol – Carter Burwell
Steve Jobs – Daniel Pemberton

Alternates
Sicario – Jóhann Jóhannsson
Inside Out – Michael Giacchino
Joy – Michael Giacchino
The Walk – Alan Silverstri
Anomalisa – Carter Burwell
In the Heart of the Sea – Roque Baños

Dark Horses
The Good Dinosaur – Michael Giacchino
Brooklyn – Michael Brook
Cinderella – Patrick Doyle
The Revenant – TBD
Pan – John Powell
Mad Max: Fury Road – Junkie XL
Beasts of No Nation – Dan Romer
Spotlight – Howard Shore
Concussion – James Newton Howard
CINDERELLACostume Design
Cinderella
Star Wars VII: The Force Awakens
Mad Max: Fury Road
Pan
The Danish Girl

Alternates
The Hateful Eight
Carol
The Revenant
MacBeth
Brooklyn
Black Mass

Dark Horses
Bridge of Spies
Trumbo
Crimson Peak
I Saw the Light
Suffragette
Far From the Madding Crowd
Youth
Miles Ahead
The Hunger Games: Mockingjay Part 2
MadMaxscreengrabheadlinecropMakeup and Hairstyling
Mad Max: Fury Road
Star Wars VII: The Force Awakens
The Danish Girl

Alternates
Pan
Black Mass
Steve Jobs
The Revenant
Carol
The Hateful Eight
Cinderella

Dark Horses
The Walk
Miles Ahead
Brooklyn
Trumbo
Ex Machina
I Saw the Light
Truth
Joy
MacBeth
The Big Short
star-wars-the-force-awakensVisual Effects
Star Wars VII: The Force Awakens
The Martian
Mad Max: Fury Road
Spectre
Jurassic World

Alternates
Tomorrowland
Avengers: Age of Ultron
Pan
In the Heart of the Sea
Mission Impossible: Rogue Nation
The Walk

Dark Horses
Ant-Man
Kingsman: The Secret Service
Furious 7
Chappie
Point Break
The Hunger Games: Mockingjay Part 2
Crimson Peak
Scouts Guide to the Zombie Apocalypse
Hitman: Agent 47
1417193211262.cachedSound Editing
Star Wars VII: The Force Awakens
Mad Max: Fury Road
The Martian
Jurassic World
In the Heart of the Sea

Alternates
Beasts of No Nation
The Revenant
Sicario
Bridge of Spies
Spectre
The Hateful Eight

Dark Horses
Everest
Pan
The Walk
Son of Saul
MacBeth
Tomorrowland
Black Mass
Anomalisa
Miles Ahead
sw2Sound Mixing
Star Wars VII: The Force Awakens
Mad Max: Fury Road
The Martian
Sicario
The Revenant

Alternates
Beasts of No Nation
In the Heart of the Sea
Steve Jobs
The Hateful Eight
Son of Saul
Spotlight
Bridge of Spies

Dark Horses
Spectre
The Walk
Jurassic World
Everest
Black Mass
Carol
Tomorrowland
MacBeth
Inside+OutAnimated Feature Film
Inside Out
Anomalisa
The Good Dinosaur
The Peanuts Movie
Shaun the Sheep Movie

Alternates
Minions
When Marnie Was There
The Boy and the World
Zarfa
Monster Trucks

Dark Horses
The Spongebob Movie: Sponge Out of Water
Hotel Transylvania 2
Robo-Dog
Underdogs
Home

**Documentary and Foreign categories coming soon

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