Golden Globes: Final Predictions
“American Hustle” will win big tonight. At least that’s what we’re predicting. It’s been a long time since the Golden Globes have had so many categories that could go either direction. “Gravity” vs. “12 Years a Slave” will be the biggest rivalry of the night.
Both Television and Film Nomination Predictions are listed below.
So here are our predictions and odds for the 2014 Golden Globe Awards:
Best Motion Picture – Drama
The Winner: 12 Years a Slave
The Runner Up: Gravity
It’s almost a complete 50/50 between “Gravity” and “12 Years a Slave.” I’ll have to throw my hat in for “12 Years a Slave” though. Only problem is the strong likelihood that Alfonso Cuaron will win director over McQueen and Bullock may win over Blanchett. So “Gravity” will also have momentum.
Best Motion Picture – Musical or Comedy
The Winner: American Hustle
The Runner Up: The Wolf of Wall Street
The Surprise: Nebraska or Her
This is “American Hustle’s” to lose. The movie has much stronger momentum than the rest, “The Wolf of Wall Street,” “Nebraska,” and “Her” are still likely, but I wouldn’t count on it.
Best Actor in a Motion Picture – Drama
The Winner: Chiwetel Ejiofor, 12 Years a Slave
The Runner Up: Matthew McConaughey, Dallas Buyers Club
The Surprise: Tom Hanks, Captain Phillips
People are pretty split between McConaughey and Ejiofor. I’d bring it down to momentum which “12 Years a Slave” has and “Dallas Buyers Club” has little of, not receiving a screeplay or picture nomination here. While McConaughey has an edge being a household name, Ejiofor managed to also pull a surprise nod for his performance in “Dancing on the Edge” at the globes, so they like him… they really like him.
Best Actress in a Motion Picture – Drama
The Winner: Sandra Bullock, Gravity
The Runner Up: Cate Blanchett, Blue Jasmine
The Surprise: Emma Thompson, Saving Mr. Banks
I’m sticking with the momentum theory I had for the actor category. This is much more rough though. Bullock has had little to no support with the precursors (Critics groups, guilds, etc.) while Blanchett has been sweeping them. If “Gravity” becomes a major contender tonight, then Bullock gets swept up along the way.
Best Actor in a Motion Picture – Comedy or Musical
The Winner: Leonardo DiCaprio, The Wolf of Wall Street
The Runner Up: Bruce Dern, Nebraska
The Surprise: Christian Bale, American Hustle
I could easily see any of the five nominees getting this. “American Hustle’s” other victories could sweep up Bale. Bruce Dern is a veteran who has had a strong campaign this season in a relatively under-the-radar film. Then there is Leonardo DiCaprio who has a strong campaign, star-power, but is part of a controversial film that missed out on screenplay and director nominations with the globes. Tough category.
Best Actress in a Motion Picture – Comedy or Musical
The Winner: Amy Adams, American Hustle
The Runner Up: Meryl Streep, August: Osage County
The Surprise: Julia Louis-Dreyfus, Enough Said
Amy Adams and Meryl Streep both are strong contenders and will “American Hustle” actually sweep? Or just win a couple big awards? Considering that “August: Osage County” hasn’t been really considered a good film, I could see “American Hustle’s” momentum lifting Adams up on this one.
Best Supporting Actor in a Motion Picture
The Winner: Jared Leto, Dallas Buyers Club
The Runner Up: Michael Fassbender, 12 Years a Slave
The Surprise: Daniel Bruhl, Rush or Bradley Cooper, American Hustle
Can’t see Bradley Cooper really getting it here. The strongest contenders with precursors have been Leto and Fassbender. You could make the argument that I made earlier about “Dallas Buyers Club” not showing up anywhere. But this has been an awkward category from the beginning. It’ll either be the one with the precursor love (Leto) or the two picked up by their corresponding films momentum (Cooper and Fassbender.) Watch out for Bruhl though, seriously.
Best Supporting Actress in a Motion Picture
The Winner: Jennifer Lawrence, American Hustle
The Runner Up: Lupita Nyong’o, 12 Years a Slave
The Surprise: Julia Roberts, August: Osage County
There is little room for a surprise winner here with the war of Lawrence vs. Nyong’o going on. Both are in major contending films this year, but Lawrence has the edge due to her star-power.
Best Director – Motion Picture
The Winner: David O. Russell, American Hustle
The Runner Up: Alfonso Cuaron, Gravity and Steve McQueen, 12 Years a Slave
It’s between Cuaron, McQueen, and Russell here. This one’s just really pick-and-choose, you could make a good argument for any of them. I’ll bet the HFPA goes with Russell to keep people second guessing the Motion Picture – Drama rivalry of “Gravity” vs. “12 Years a Slave.”
Best Screenplay – Motion Picture
The Winner: American Hustle
The Runner Up: 12 Years a Slave
The Surprise: Her or Nebraska
This would be a big win for “12 Years a Slave,” but I’m still sticking to the route of “American Hustle.” It’ll be a big night for the film. “Her” and “Nebraska” could easily sneak up in this cateogry as well.
Best Original Score – Motion Picture
The Winner: Gravity
The Runner Up: 12 Years a Slave
The Surprise: Mandela: Long Walk to Freedom
They could also give John Williams an award for “The Book Thief” here. But I’m betting they stick the the “12 Years a Slave” vs. “Gravity” format and “Gravity” simply has the better score.
Best Original Song – Motion Picture
The Winner: “Let It Go” – Frozen
The Runner Up: “Ordinary Love” – Mandela: Long Walk to Freedom
The Surprise: “Please Mr. Kennedy” – Inside Llewyn Davis
“Ordinary Love” and “Let It Go” seem to be showing up in most precursors regarding this category. I’ll have to toss my prediction for “Frozen” though. The film will also be looking at an Animated Film globe, so why not pick this one up as well?
Best Television Series – Drama
The Winner: Breaking Bad
The Runner Up: House of Cards
The Surprise: Masters of Sex
You could make the argument that the world isn’t ready for a Netflix original to start winning awards, but I could still see “House of Cards” making a run for it. However, “Breaking Bad” is a juggernaut for everything it is nominated for, despite the abscence of Anna Gunn.
Best Television Series – Comedy or Musical
The Winner: Modern Family
The Runner Up: Any Other Show
This is the most difficult category to predict of the whol award show. I’m going to say “Modern Family” has the edge simply because it is the only comedy/musical show to get a supporting actor nomination (Sofia Vergara.) And that’s the only reason.
Best Actor in a Television Series – Drama
The Winner: Bryan Cranston, Breaking Bad
The Runner Up: Kevin Spacey, House of Cards
The Surprise: Michael Sheen, Masters of Sex
Along with Best Series, I forsee Cranston taking home tonights dramatic actor globe. Also wouldn’t be too surprised if he didn’t, it would be a major snub though.
Best Actress in a Television Series – Drama
The Winner: Tatiana Maslany, Orphan Black
The Runner Up: Kerry Washington, Scandal
The Surprise: Julianna Margulies, The Good Wife
Another tough category. My gut says Washington vs. Maslany, but I feel like the HFPA would more likely give the globe to a newcomer. “Orphan Black” also seems to be growing more and more in popularity.
Best Actor in a Television Series – Comedy or Musical
The Winner: Jim Parsons, The Big Bang Theory
The Runner Up: Michael J. Fox, The Michael J. Fox Show
The Surprise: Andy Samberg, Brooklyn Nine-Nine or Jason Bateman, Arrested Development
Anything could happen here. I went the opposited of my Actress – Drama theory and went for a veteran player with Jim Parsons. Also consider that “The Big Bang Theory” scored a Best Series nomination. I know Brooklyn Nine-Nine and Arrested Development too, but I just can’t see Bateman or Samberg winning it.
Best Actress in a Television Series – Comedy or Musical
The Winner: Julia Louis-Dreyfus, Veep
The Runner Up: Edie Falco, Nurse Jackie
The Surprise: Amy Poehler, Parks and Recreation
It’d be a conflict of interest in a way for Poehler to get it. Also I’m sure a good bit would happen when she lost it. Dreyfus has tons of momentum for “Veep” right now and she had an extra boost being nominated for “Enough Said.” I’d say she’s to beat, but watch out for Edie Falco.
Best Mini-Series or TV Movie
The Winner: Behind the Candelabra
No runner-ups or surprises. “Behind the Candelabra” is the only shoe-in of the whole awards show.
Best Actor in a Mini-Series or TV Movie
The Winner: Michael Douglas, Behind the Candelabra
Did I say only shoe-in? I forgot about Michael Douglas.
Best Actress in a Mini-Series or TV Movie
The Winner: Helena Bonham Carter, Burton and Taylor
The Runner Up: Rebecca Ferguson, White Queen
The Surprise: Jessica Lange, American Horror Story: Coven
I’d say the momentum is leaning mostly towards Carter here. This category is designed for a surprise to land though, so expect anyone. They liked “White Queen” for some reason so why not Ferguson?
Best Supporting Actor in a Mini-Series, TV Movie, or TV Series
The Winner: Aaron Paul, Breaking Bad
The Runner Up: Jon Voight, Ray Donovan
The Surprise: Rob Lowe, Behind the Candelabra
This one won’t be so easy for “Behind the Candelabra.” I can see Aaron Paul starting off the “Breaking Bad” sweep with a win here.
Best Supporting Actress in a Mini-Series, TV Movie, or TV Series
The Winner: Janet McTeer, White Queen
The Runner Up: Jacqueline Bisset, Dancing on the Edge
The Surprise: Sofia Vergara, Modern Family or Monica Potter, Parenthood
Another completely confusing category. These nominations blind-sided everyone. Like I said before, they apparently really liked “White Queen” so maybe McTeer has a good shot here. They also seemed to like “Dancing on the Edge” so watch out for Bisset. In the end it’s anyones game here, so watch out for everyone.