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After compiling some statistics from other websites, taking into consideration the politics of award races, and considering criticism of shows/performances. This is how I believe the Emmy Nominations will look this year.

Best Television Series Drama

Boardwalk Empire

Breaking Bad

Downtown Abbey

Game of Thrones

Homeland

Mad Men

Best Television Actor in a Dramatic Series

Steve Buscemi, Boardwalk Empire

Bryan Cranston, Breaking Bad

Kelsey Grammar, Boss

Jon Hamm, Mad Men

Damian Lewis, Homeland

Best Television Actress in a Dramatic Series

Glenn Close, Damages

Clair Danes, Homeland

Julianna Marguiles, The Good Wife

Debra Messing, Smash

Elisabeth Moss, Mad Men

Best Television Series Comedy

The Big Bang Theory

Modern Family

New Girl

Parks and Recreation

30 Rock

Veep

Best Actor in a Comedic Television Series

Alec Baldwin, 30 Rock

Louis C.K., Louie

Larry David, Curb Your Enthusiasm

Johnny Galecki, The Big Bang Theory

Jim Parsons, The Big Bang Theory

Best Actress in a Comedic Television Series

Laura Dern, Enlgihtened

Zooey Deschanel, New Girl

Julia Louis-Dreyfuss, Veep

Melissa McCarthy, Mike and Molly

Amy Poehler, Parks and Recreation

Best Movie made for TV or Mini-Series

American Horror Story

Game Change

Great Expectations

Hatfields and McCoys

Hemingway and Gellhorn

Sherlock: Scandal in Belgravia

Best Actor in a TV Movie or Mini-Series

Benedict Cumberpatch, Sherlock: Scandal in Belgravia

Idris Elba, Luther

Woody Harrelson, Game Change

Bill Nighty, Page Eight

Clive Owen, Hemingway and Gelhorn

Best Actress in a TV Movie or Mini-Series

Connie Britton, American Horror Story

Nicole Kidman, Hemingway and Gelhorn

Julianne Moore, Game Change

Emily Watson, Appropriate Adults

Rachel Weisz, Page Eight

Best Actor in a Supporting Role in a Dramatic Series

Peter Dinklage, Game of Thrones

Giancarlo, Esposito, Breaking Bad

Mandy Patinkin, Homeland

Aaron Paul, Breaking Bad

John Slattery, Mad Men

Best Actress in a Supporting Role in a Dramatic Series

Christin Baranski, The Good Wife

Christina Hendricks, Mad Men

Kelly MacDonald, Boardwalk Empire

Archi Panjabi, The Good Wife

Maggie Smith, Downtown Abbey

Best Actor in a Supporting Role in a Comedic Series

Ty Burrell, Modern Family

Max Greenfield, New Girl

Nick Offerman, Parks and Recreation

Ed O’Neill, Modern Family

Eric Stonestreet, Modern Family

Best Actress in a Supporting Role for a Comedic Series

Julie Bowen, Modern Family

Cloris Leachman, Raising Hope

Sofia Vergara, Modern Family

Betty White, Hot in Cleveland

Kristen Wiig, Saturday Night Live

Best Actor in a Supporting Role for a TV Movie or Mini-Series

Powers Booth, Hatfields and McCoys

Martin Freeman, Sherlock: Scandal in Belgravia

Michael Gambon, Page Eight

Ed Harris, Game Change

David Straithairn, Hemingway and Belhorn

Best Actress in a Supporting Role for a TV Movie or Mini-Series

Gillian Anderson, Great Expectations

Judy Davis, Page Eight

Jessica Lange, American Horror Story

Sarah Paulson, Game Change

Mare Winningham, Hatfields and McCoys

Best Reality Competition Series

American Idol

The Amazing Race

So You Think You Can Dance

Top Chef

The Voice

Best Reality Show Host

Tom Bergeron, Dancing With the Stars

Cat Deeley, So You Think You Can Dance

Phil Keoghan, The Amazing Race

Jeff Probst, Survivor

Ryan Seacrest, American Idol

Best Variety Series

Colbert Report

The Daily Show with Jon Stewart

Late Night with Jimmy Fallon

Real Time with Bill Mahr

Saturday Night Live

Best Guest Actor in a Comedy Series

Alan Alda, The Big C

Will Arnett, 30 Rock

Matt Bomer, Glee

Jimy Fallon, Saturday Night Live

Michael J. Fox, Curb Your Enthusiasm

Best Guest Actress in a Comedy Series

Ellen Barkin, Modern Family

Patricia Clarkson, Parks and Recretion

Blythe Danner, Up All Night

Melissa McCarthy, Saturday Night Live

Maya Rudolph, Saturday Night Live

Best Guest Actor in a Drama Series

Michael J. Fox, The Good Wife

Chris Messina, Damages

Robert Morse, Mad Men

Matthew Perry, The Good Wife

Fred Willard, The Closer

Best Guest Actress in a Drama Series

Joan Cusack, Shameless

Loretta Devine, Grey’s Anatomy

Louise Fletcher, Shameless

Jean Smart, Harry’s Law

Uma Thurman, Smash

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